Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
11-11-2007, 04:10 PM
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Replies: 188
Views: 1,757
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Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
08-01-2007, 07:50 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 55
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-28-2007, 08:01 AM
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Replies: 94
Views: 338
Re: MPMK awkward river
[ QUOTE ]
When you say EV(f) = 0 by definition you ignore the times you fold the best hand. In the example above Hero will be folding the best hand with 10% prob. That negative value has to...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-28-2007, 07:41 AM
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Replies: 94
Views: 338
Re: MPMK awkward river
[ QUOTE ]
Now when vilain is allowed to make an action when checked to and assuming he will
Ahead: bet 70% check 0%
Behind: bet 10% check 20%
[/ QUOTE ]
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Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
07-28-2007, 06:29 AM
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Replies: 6
Views: 33
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-27-2007, 11:28 AM
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Replies: 94
Views: 338
Re: MPMK awkward river
I understand what you guys are saying, I'm just being a nit about the usage of the term "expected value".
The EV of folding is always 0, so how could it be better to bet if betting is -EV?
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-27-2007, 11:14 AM
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Replies: 94
Views: 338
Re: MPMK awkward river
I don't get it. If all options are -EV you should fold.
I guess what you are trying to say is that it is not a value bet (we lose more than 50% time when called). But it is still +EV!
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-21-2007, 02:56 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 56
1/2 bvb bottom pair
Villain seems tag or lag after ~20 hands. Capable of folding.
sb open limps, hero raises w/A/images/graemlins/club.gif3/images/graemlins/club.gif
Flop...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-18-2007, 09:30 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 74
Re: 1/2 TPGK in 3bet pot get raised on turn
[ QUOTE ]
Is he capable of free showdowning a hand like TT/99 here? If so I would call the turn and fold the river UI.
[/ QUOTE ]
It's hard to say. I realized I don't know anything specific...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-18-2007, 08:54 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 74
1/2 TPGK in 3bet pot get raised on turn
Button is a 25/15/3 reg who I've played a lot (almost 1k hands) with. Possibly a 2+2er. We usually stay out of each other's way. He respects my raises and I respect his. BB is a donk.
Now this...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-13-2007, 10:55 AM
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Replies: 7
Views: 72
Re: common SB vs. BB Spot
My feeling is that this is a spewy move without any reads. I try to play very straightforward against unknowns
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-12-2007, 09:35 AM
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Replies: 3
Views: 42
.5/1: 88 in SB with bunch of limpers
UTG is loose passive (VPIP>50 af<0.5). BB is loose, aggressive and bad. CO is tight but seemed kind of weak (tight passive), didn't value bet TPTK on the turn in a heads up pot
What is the minimum...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-12-2007, 08:49 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 53
.5/1: 77 OTB
Villain is TAG: 29/18/2.9 over 200 hands
I have no notes on him which usually means he hasn't done anything stupid/odd.
I was going to call down but the K made me reconsider.
Party Poker...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-12-2007, 08:28 AM
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Replies: 7
Views: 63
Re: TPTK
grunching
[ QUOTE ]
Should I slow down at any moment ?
Maybe on the turn or river ?
Maybe I got lucky not being raised on these streets.
[/ QUOTE ]
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
07-12-2007, 08:21 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 76
.5/1 KQo
UTG is a bad player, not enough hands to get stats but I've seen a few of his plays and he was horrible. He called river with some J high crap after lots of action, etc.
BB is a tighter player,...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
06-26-2007, 01:04 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 205
Re: FU river
[ QUOTE ]
"Yes, learning to fold correctly on the river is an important skill. If you call routinely with hopeless hands, you have a big problem...
...For instance, just last night I folded K...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
06-26-2007, 08:34 AM
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Replies: 17
Views: 88
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
06-26-2007, 08:25 AM
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Replies: 5
Views: 176
Re: Value betting
Hand1 noo.. i dont think i have the balls for that bet. there are some players i'd bet that against though. (super LP)
hand2 yes bet, he can easily have A high or PP<=TT and he is using the bluff...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
06-26-2007, 07:00 AM
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Replies: 21
Views: 205
Re: FU river
6% chance to win is enough. I don't really think about hand ranges at this point, misclick equity combined with retard equity is enough /images/graemlins/smile.gif
If you think about it from...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
06-26-2007, 06:46 AM
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Replies: 21
Views: 205
Re: FU river
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Would you ever fold in this spot?
[/ QUOTE ]not vs unknown, vs a good player yes
[/ QUOTE ]
Paging Ed Miller..
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
06-23-2007, 07:06 AM
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Replies: 483
Views: 2,641
Re: ***SSSH Official NC/LC Thread June***
Hay guys, im bored and sweating you @ sahara /images/graemlins/smile.gif
That hobart guy really is great. oink what did you have in that AKx spade flop? AQ /AJ I guess nothing else makes sense.
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
06-23-2007, 06:40 AM
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Replies: 3
Views: 57
Re: Facing agrassion from loose passive players
I have this problem too. Many times I have had a good read on somebody but I still can't make the fold with TPGK. I think you generally need a very good read. Stats arent enough for me. Some LPs get...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
06-23-2007, 06:15 AM
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Replies: 7
Views: 51
Re: turn spot - call or raise?
grunching
If he is unknown he probably hasn't noticed you either? I'd call down against unknown player. If you had reads he was a TAG/good player/aggro retard who could very well be doing this...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
06-23-2007, 06:05 AM
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Replies: 6
Views: 52
Re: A3o - Is this tilt or okay?
I don't see anything good about this
STOP SPEWING LIKE A RETARD
is that what you wanted to hear? /images/graemlins/smile.gif
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
06-21-2007, 08:25 AM
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Replies: 30
Views: 128
Re: River Decision with Pocket Qs H/U
[ QUOTE ]
the bet has so much value its +EV EVEN IF YOU ALWAYS CHOSE THE WRONG DECISION AGAINST A C/R.
[/ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
DONT OVERTHINK 0.5/1 LHE. JUST PLAY STRAIGHTFOWARD AND VALUEBET...
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