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Search: Posts Made By: BagOfCoins
Forum: Small Stakes Limit 08-20-2007, 02:06 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 79
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: 3/6 Live: Too aggressive on turn?

That's creepy. It's exactly the same hand as I posted last week:

10/20 My nuts go bad and the turn is 3-bet...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 08-20-2007, 12:29 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 83
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: 10/20 My nuts go bad and the turn is 3-bet

[ QUOTE ]
Isn't it possible nitty old man was slowplaying his flopped straight?

[/ QUOTE ]
Yes.
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-16-2007, 06:17 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 107
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: hidden opportunity?

The preflop raise is unusual, but in the right situation it can be ok.

I don't like the turn bet because it screams weakness at this level. You aren't representing the flush because you didn't bet...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-16-2007, 06:07 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 76
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: AK facing huge overbet in 10 rebuy

I agree with levAA: instacall

I would expect him to have a pair or any ace. He thinks he has the best hand and you are simply raising to steal the blinds.

There are three cases here.
1) he has...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-16-2007, 06:00 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 52
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: Is open pushing from SB with A7o and an M of 10 reckless?

No it is not.

A7o has a Sklansky-Chubukov number of 62.7, so as long as your stack is less than 62x as large as the small blind, it is guaranteed +EV to push allin with it.

With an M of 10,...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-16-2007, 04:43 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 59
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: sidepot question

Checking the hand down when there is no sidepot is rarely a good idea. Eventhough you cannot make the allin player fold, you still need to protect your hand.

For example, in this case you have a...
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 08-15-2007, 05:22 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 83
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: 10/20 My nuts go bad and the turn is 3-bet

Thanks for the analysis. I wasn't happy about it, but I ended up folding on the turn.

I'm sure you're all correct that my big error was getting involved with QJo out of position.
Forum: Medium Stakes Limit 08-15-2007, 11:57 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 83
Posted By BagOfCoins
10/20 My nuts go bad and the turn is 3-bet

At the CNE in Toronto.

The play has been very loose in general. There is a mix of several very poor, no-fold'em players plus two or three good, solid players.

I am in middle position and there...
Forum: Small Stakes 07-27-2007, 05:13 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 90
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: 200NL - turned TPTK on a drawy board...

If you get raised on the turn like that, especially by a passive player, I say you have to fold.

In spite of the draw-heavy board, I would be inclined to check/call the turn. Otherwise you are...
Forum: Science, Math, and Philosophy 07-27-2007, 04:52 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 95
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: Living Forever, EV Calculation

[ QUOTE ]
I'm just surprised that nobody has yet invoked the name of Ray Kurzweil (http://www.fantastic-voyage.net/)

[/ QUOTE ]

Or that of Aubrey de Grey...
Forum: Small Stakes 07-27-2007, 04:41 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 38
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: Another awkward spot vs maniac-fish

I agree with Jamougha and cbboy: reraise allin on the flop. Either you believe he has a deuce or you don't. If he does have a deuce, then you're in trouble, but if he doesn't, then you are ahead of...
Forum: Small Stakes 07-27-2007, 04:34 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 64
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: Steal attempt went wrong>>>>horrible horrible spot.

Limp/call preflop and hope that he'll make the same overly-aggressive mistake and reraise you when you flop a set.

44 is too weak go crazy with preflop, even against a complete maniac. I would...
Forum: Small Stakes 07-27-2007, 04:23 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 24
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: NL (1$) did hero play this well ?

Do you think Villain would have called more than $21 on the turn had you bet? Especially if he's expecting you to bet again on the river?

It doesn't look like he would have to me, so I think the...
Forum: Brick and Mortar 07-27-2007, 03:56 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 172
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: Casino Chips

Generally the casino doesn't care where you take your chips.

Me and a buddy were playing at a casino on our way up to the cottage, and realized we wouldn't have any poker chips when we got there....
Forum: MTT Strategy 07-27-2007, 03:51 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 94
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: Wrong to push here near bubble?

I'd agree with folding because you are too easily dominated by a higher ace, or stop-n-going because that's the best way to beat the higher ace.
Forum: Small Stakes 07-27-2007, 01:18 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 39
Posted By BagOfCoins
Re: Playing nut flush draws.

1. Estimate the odds that your opponent will call your allin on the turn.
2. Estimate the odds that you will win assuming your opponent calls.
3. ????
4. Profit.

Step 1 involves all the...
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