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Search: Posts Made By: Xenod
Forum: Probability 08-13-2007, 11:36 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 97
Posted By Xenod
Re: Baseball Question

Thanks for the responses.

Just to confirm, you're saying that there will be 6 or more hits about 21.2% of the time?
Forum: Probability 08-12-2007, 11:28 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 97
Posted By Xenod
Baseball Question

I'm a year out of college and I've forgotten way too much probability...

Someone related an anecdote from a book they read about a man who made a lot of money in college by offering the following...
Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance 07-04-2006, 12:24 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 27
Posted By Xenod
Sweet Backgammon Vengeance

http://www.geocities.com/xenod/gammon.JPG
Forum: Small Stakes 06-29-2006, 10:01 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 32
Posted By Xenod
Small Flush OOP and lost

This was the first hand at the table. I hate that I didn't lead out on the turn here. Should I be check/calling or check/folding the river?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) Hand...
Forum: Small Stakes 06-22-2006, 12:19 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 44
Posted By Xenod
Re: Dangerous flopped 2-pair against a Re-raiser

Yeah, at the time it seemed reasonable, but looking back I don't even know why I posted this. It's pretty obvious I'm beat here. If I'm going to use poker tracker than I might as well USE poker...
Forum: Small Stakes 06-22-2006, 12:02 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 44
Posted By Xenod
Dangerous flopped 2-pair against a Re-raiser

Villain is 27-1 after 150 or so hands. Half of me says "OMG 2-pair" and half says there's nothing reasonable I can beat here. Two questions

a)Should I C/F the flop or lead out?
b)Usually I make...
Forum: Small Stakes 06-08-2006, 03:28 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 50
Posted By Xenod
Re: Drawtastic board, push top 2 on turn. Did I do goot?

I don't really see him having KQ here. I'd put him on AK, possibly AA. If he has AA, oh well.
Forum: Small Stakes 06-04-2006, 02:52 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 42
Posted By Xenod
Set against Tight dude

Villain is 15/0 after 55 hands.

I'm pretty content with this hand for everything but the river. Due to his tight nature, I think he has AA, KK, or AK. MAYBE QQ but not likely. Merely calling my...
Forum: Small Stakes 06-03-2006, 05:24 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 105
Posted By Xenod
Re: Bluff on rivered 4-flush, even though I have a set?

I check behind, and I really don't think it's close. Also, I'd make it at least $25 on the turn. Against a villain this loose I'm not going to automatically put him on the flush draw.
Forum: Small Stakes 05-31-2006, 09:38 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 51
Posted By Xenod
Re: KK on unusual flop

Thanks for all the replies. I'm so used to leading the flop, but I see that checking was my best action here.

For this specific hand he wasn't going to fold. He did have a set, AA. Turn bricked...
Forum: Small Stakes 05-31-2006, 07:44 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 51
Posted By Xenod
KK on unusual flop

I think I should've raised more preflop first of all. On the flop, I figured a push would get an Ace without a decent heart to fold, and if I do get called I can catch a heart for the nuts. MP1 was...
Forum: Small Stakes 05-31-2006, 04:03 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 94
Posted By Xenod
Re: Huge flop overbet 50NL

I'd roll my eyes and fold. But make a note. If he does this a lot then you can start making looser calls.
Forum: Small Stakes 05-30-2006, 03:55 AM
Replies: 131
Views: 560
Posted By Xenod
Re: June Goals

1) Average 3.5 hours a day
2) Establish myself at NL100
3) Build a roll big enough for NL200
Forum: Small Stakes 05-27-2006, 02:38 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 94
Posted By Xenod
Re: 99 - My set line sucks:(

I'm all about aggression, but why not just see a flop here? Raising here sets up a big pot that you have to play out of position.
Forum: Small Stakes 05-20-2006, 02:01 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 117
Posted By Xenod
Re: Aces hand, no reads. Did I play this well?

All the streets look fine. You should absolutely check behind on the river, there's too many scare cards out there to value bet.

nh
Forum: Small Stakes 05-19-2006, 04:39 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 52
Posted By Xenod
Re: should I fold to this minraise?

Nah, not without a read. I'd consider folding if he strongly led the turn, but you have a decent hand, position on your opponent, and it's not that much to call.
Forum: Small Stakes 05-14-2006, 05:54 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 70
Posted By Xenod
Re: Betting into the pre flop raiser?

I think you have to bet out here. You called his bet preflop, and pretty much hit the flop you were looking for. You can't give him a free card here.

If you get check-raised, it certainly puts you...
Forum: Internet Gambling 05-05-2006, 03:48 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 101
Posted By Xenod
Re: post your spreadsheet!

I have a cashgame spreadsheet which is very meh, and a STT spreadsheet which has some decent features, PM me if you're interested, although unless you play STTs I really don't have much to add.
Forum: Internet Gambling 05-04-2006, 09:02 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 84
Posted By Xenod
Re: My Report on the Security of Online Poker

Had to write a 20-page paper for a seminar/class I'm in about the Social and Technical foundations of the Internet. I figured I might as well write about something I was very interested in.
Forum: Internet Gambling 05-04-2006, 08:15 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 84
Posted By Xenod
My Report on the Security of Online Poker

http://www.geocities.com/xenod/

Click on the "Here It Is" link

I posted a couple times in the last couple of weeks asking for information, so I figured I'd put the final product up. To be...
Forum: Small Stakes 04-24-2006, 02:48 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 91
Posted By Xenod
Re: Still trying to learn NL - Is this a value bet?

I don't really seem him calling a large bet here with a hand you beat when you only have TPTK. Anything he can legitimately raise you with has you beat. I think I check this down here 90% of the...
Forum: Internet Gambling 04-24-2006, 02:00 AM
Replies: 16
Views: 145
Posted By Xenod
Re: Was ProPoker rigged?

Thanks everyone for the replies. Was "Korean Investors" some sort of excuse given by ProPoker?
Forum: Internet Gambling 04-22-2006, 06:56 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 145
Posted By Xenod
Re: Was ProPoker rigged?

Thanks for the edit mod, didn't realize I screwed up the site name.

Here's my shameless bump, I only do this once. If nobody responds then my request for information will disappear forever into...
Forum: Internet Gambling 04-22-2006, 05:46 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 145
Posted By Xenod
Was ProPoker rigged?

For the 10 of you that read my previous post, I'm still doing research. I saw on the Wikipedia article for online poker that supposedly ProPoker was using bots with knowledge of the cards to scam...
Forum: Internet Gambling 04-17-2006, 01:47 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 47
Posted By Xenod
Re: Looking for Collusion Records

Haha, wow, understatement much? Thanks for the heads up. If anyone is curious, here it is.

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showthreaded.php?Cat=0&Number=4856097&page=
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