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Search: Posts Made By: ORTOM
Forum: Business, Finance, and Investing 03-19-2007, 01:06 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 563
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Tell us about your job

[ QUOTE ]
What do you do? Do you like it? What makes you in particular well-suited or poorly-suited for your work? What kind of people do best in your work? What qualifications are necessary for...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-19-2007, 12:27 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 136
Posted By ORTOM
Money gaming site

I found this site the other day. It lets you wager on various board games including chess and backgammon. Has anybody played there? I've visited it a few times, and haven't once seen a game in...
Forum: Other Gambling Games 03-19-2007, 12:24 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 146
Posted By ORTOM
Re: totesport

If you want to be safe, why not move most of ur money to another account?
Forum: Probability 01-16-2007, 08:46 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 148
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Am I going to lose my ass (football board)?

EV=p(all right)*payout
=p(q1 right)*p(q2right)*p(q3 right)*p(q4 right)*payout.
Assuming each question is idependent...

=(.6)^4*-8000=.1286*-8000=-1036.80.

But, it is clear that these...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-16-2007, 08:07 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 138
Posted By ORTOM
Re: am I a winning player?

[ QUOTE ]

Quote:
as the subject tells, I want your opinions if you think that i am a winning player based on the following informations:

I played 91 hu matches in the past week, i...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-16-2007, 06:44 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 107
Posted By ORTOM
Re: NLCash: Charateristics of different rooms and levels.

[ QUOTE ]
I was aboutr to ask everybody all the rooms where you can find 0.5-1 NL HU cash games? So while answering this post, try to identify all the rooms you know they have cash games hu and if...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-14-2007, 10:46 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 107
Posted By ORTOM
NLCash: Charateristics of different rooms and levels.

I think it would be useful for some of us to share our general raiting of the competition at the various rooms and levels of NL cash games.

Personally, I play on Full Tilt, at the 200 and 400...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-14-2007, 10:43 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 227
Posted By ORTOM
Re: 200NL HU cash FTP vs absolute maniac

I agree with your play. I guess he had a few outs (or perhaps air). I'd say the all in on the river puts him around 40 percent to have you beat, given your check. So call.
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-14-2007, 05:33 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 393
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Buy in requirements

[ QUOTE ]
Quote:

Quote:
The variance of a binomial distribution is n*P*(1-p)
s.d = sqrt[n*P*(1-p)] but this assumes p is constant for each game .



I didnt'...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-14-2007, 05:30 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 393
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Buy in requirements

[ QUOTE ]
I would say not. The whole point of winning $ at poker is not winning the higher percentage of pots you possibly can, its winning big pots when you win, and losing small pots when you...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-13-2007, 11:04 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 108
Posted By ORTOM
Re: When to take coinflips?

If you think you're 50/50 in this situtation, call because of the money that's already in the pot. If the player is really bad, he could have absolutely nothing, putting you at well over 50/50.
...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-13-2007, 10:53 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 393
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Buy in requirements

[ QUOTE ]
i have a question, lets say your playing a heads up cash game. if you feel your a 65% favorite vs that player..would that make you a 65% winner? and would those calulations work here?
...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-13-2007, 10:50 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 393
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Buy in requirements

[ QUOTE ]
The variance of a binomial distribution is n*P*(1-p)
s.d = sqrt[n*P*(1-p)] but this assumes p is constant for each game .

[/ QUOTE ]

I didnt' assume that p was constant for each...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-13-2007, 01:52 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 125
Posted By ORTOM
Getting backup internet for HU play

For hu cash play, does anybody think it is worht getting DSL in addtion to cable for those times when the internet goes down and you are in a big pot? 2 200 pots more than pays for the cost for a...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-13-2007, 01:36 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 110
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Rakeback vs rake paid on the site... What is better???

The best way to figure out how much rake you are paying is to use poker tracker, unless they don't support Betson.
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-13-2007, 01:32 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 189
Posted By ORTOM
Re: $0.75/$1.5 200bbs deep. Extracting max value from rivered nuts

I agree with your analysis. I don't think a king would call even option one, unless villian is really bad. Any ace is calling a shove here since it was happy enough to call the substantial turn...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-12-2007, 02:11 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 393
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Buy in requirements

[ QUOTE ]

I made the assumption that the probability you win every individual game is constant at x% , for x=55%,60%,65% .

If you want to be precise , you should use the formula that includes...
Forum: High Stakes 01-12-2007, 03:58 AM
Replies: 85
Views: 698
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Full Tilt\'s reply/stance

[ QUOTE ]
This is after 2 emails I have sent them after their "reply/stance" which is posted in the beginning of this thread. Neither of those emails I sent were replied to. This is the 3rd. It is...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-12-2007, 03:31 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 149
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Nlcash. How should i play this hand and why?

I would check call the river. I think he either has a monster or very little (the only exception being a higher 8). At 100NL, 50/50 to each.
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-12-2007, 03:24 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 163
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Best way to counter players who min-reraise preflop?

I'd reraise with my big hands as well as some marginal but playable hands (down to medium suited connectors) to help disguise my monsters. Other than that, just call if you have a playable hand. If...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-12-2007, 03:01 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 536
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Multi tabling hu games

[ QUOTE ]
It's important to set a reasonable goal everyday and once you hit it, stopping.

[/ QUOTE ]

I also think it's importatn to set goals, but I don't always stop once I reach them. ...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-12-2007, 02:58 AM
Replies: 31
Views: 393
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Buy in requirements

[ QUOTE ]

Your missing the variability of variability though

[/ QUOTE ]

This inspired me to expand upon jay_shark's work and remove the implicit assumption that the player has the same...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-12-2007, 02:11 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 536
Posted By ORTOM
Re: Multi tabling hu games

Personally, I play 2 nl cash games at 1/2 or 2/4. If i'm playing nl hu sngs, 3 at the 55 level. Somtimes, if a player is a bad lag, I will play only against him, since reads become much more...
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-12-2007, 02:05 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 116
Posted By ORTOM
Re: 1/2 HU, JJ first hand

auto-call.
I'd give you an 80 percent chance of being againt a tilting player or a donkey. Given this is true, 30 percent Ax (maybe even soooooooted), 30 pecent underpair, 40 percent 2 under cards....
Forum: Heads Up Poker 01-12-2007, 01:45 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 594
Posted By ORTOM
Re: $0.5/$1 NL Cash River value bet facing shove

auto-fold unless villian is a uber-aggresive mega donk. Even then, I'd seriously consider folding.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 104

 
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