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Search: Posts Made By: drbst
Forum: Probability 05-05-2006, 09:42 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 130
Posted By drbst
Re: Does this player have implied odds?

I think the bet on the river was a mistake.
Forum: Probability 04-25-2006, 08:56 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 70
Posted By drbst
Re: Chess or Poker?

The game of NIM has an infinite number of possible positions. However, the winning strategy is easy.
Forum: Probability 04-25-2006, 09:46 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 70
Posted By drbst
Re: Chess or Poker?

After a position occurs three times with the same player to move the game is declared a draw.
Forum: Probability 04-01-2006, 09:59 AM
Replies: 10
Views: 83
Posted By drbst
Re: A raffle question.

http://smilies.myioff.net/lachen.gif

Must be a Fool's Day joke. But a good one, I admit.
Forum: Probability 03-24-2006, 01:29 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 80
Posted By drbst
Re: 2* Royal Flush whilst 6 tabling

LOL! /images/graemlins/grin.gif
Forum: Probability 03-24-2006, 12:04 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 62
Posted By drbst
Re: Hold\'em %s Pre-flop => Flop

When the premises differ, then the results of logical reasoning may differ. (I was sloppy in saying the results are correct.) But that is not the fault of the logic. Logic in itself can not be wrong....
Forum: Probability 03-23-2006, 11:49 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 59
Posted By drbst
Re: Any Math specialists out there???

EDIT: Oops, too late. /images/graemlins/smile.gif

If you rearrange the digits of a number to construct another number and subtract both from each other, the checksum is always a multiple of 9.
...
Forum: Probability 03-23-2006, 11:35 PM
Replies: 46
Views: 165
Posted By drbst
Re: Deal or No Deal

If someone accepts 220k if the possible outcomes are 1, 200k, 300k, or 400k, this cannot be critized too much because the EV of rejecting is only a few percent more. Of course the EV should be the...
Forum: Probability 03-23-2006, 09:36 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 62
Posted By drbst
Re: Hold\'em %s Pre-flop => Flop

[ QUOTE ]
Your logic is not quite right, [...]

[/ QUOTE ]

How can logic not be right? Logic always leads to correct results, right?
Forum: Probability 03-22-2006, 09:39 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 80
Posted By drbst
Re: 2* Royal Flush whilst 6 tabling

Why don't we compute the probability to have 9/images/graemlins/club.gif 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif at THIRTEEN different tables at the same time?

Just because nobody asks?

Well, I do ask. ...
Forum: Probability 03-20-2006, 11:28 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 134
Posted By drbst
Re: The Law of Averages and Poker

If we consider for example Hold'em players drawing for a flush at the river then there will be some who make the flush much more often than average and others who make the flush much less than...
Forum: Probability 03-20-2006, 09:34 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 75
Posted By drbst
Forum: Probability 03-20-2006, 09:11 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 75
Posted By drbst
Re: How Do I Calculate This?

I think you mean the probability that not all will fold, right?

If we assume that the individual folding probabilities are independend -- they are not, but just because the calculation is much...
Forum: Probability 03-20-2006, 09:03 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 73
Posted By drbst
Forum: Probability 03-20-2006, 09:00 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 134
Posted By drbst
Re: The Law of Averages and Poker

I think you are totally right.

In statistics however, we cannot predict the fate of an individual, we can only make predictions about the attributes of groups of individuals. Therefore, as long as...
Forum: Probability 03-20-2006, 08:34 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 73
Posted By drbst
Re: The Odds Must Be Insane!!!

No cigar.

Total possible boards is 50 choose 5.
Forum: Probability 03-20-2006, 04:36 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 72
Posted By drbst
Re: Bayes Theorem: WTF

Isn't it interesting that today some people put more faith into a computer simulation than into a logical proof?
Forum: Probability 03-17-2006, 07:50 PM
Replies: 2
AQ
Views: 91
Posted By drbst
Re: AQ

I am not sure but I think there are mainly two reasons.

1. If you are ahead you can play AK much stronger than AQ because you are not threatened by any overcard.

2. If you have AK and someone...
Forum: Probability 03-16-2006, 08:03 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 54
Posted By drbst
Re: stupid question

No. The weak law of large number only states that the frequencies approach the expected values.

Example: 100 tosses, 51 heads, 49 tails, frequency 51% vs. 49%, absolute difference: 2

1000...
Forum: Probability 03-16-2006, 04:56 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 58
Posted By drbst
Re: A request for this forum...

People obviously use this probability forum to recover from tilt mode.

Every day I read this imbecile questions and I honestly hope that those people do not really expect an answer, let alone...
Forum: Probability 03-13-2006, 03:18 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 56
Posted By drbst
Re: Typical Online Poker Site in action

Do you think he should have folded any of those hands or why do you call him an idiot?
Forum: Probability 03-13-2006, 03:12 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 54
Posted By drbst
Re: Basic math proof

LOL, every child in the 7th grade knows that (a-b)*(a+b) = a^2-b^2.

Do you really think the special case of a=b+1 should be called a "theorem"?

Try this: add the first n odd numbers (1, 1+3,...
Forum: Probability 03-11-2006, 09:32 AM
Replies: 50
Views: 202
Posted By drbst
Re: folding aces preflop in a cash game

[ QUOTE ]
You're on the button. UTG opens for $20. UTG+1 makes it $50. Folds to the CO who pushes all in for $1000. You have the table covered. You look at your cards and see A...
Forum: Probability 03-07-2006, 04:24 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 97
Posted By drbst
Re: Deal or No Deal

The only thing you got right is that I am not Doyle Brunson. /images/graemlins/laugh.gif

I still don't get what you are trying to say. To me live is more than just silly money chasing. I think it...
Forum: Probability 03-06-2006, 10:09 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 97
Posted By drbst
Re: Deal or No Deal

"Live changing money", what are you talking about?

To me that is the approach of a wimp. I would go for the gazillions without a second thought.

Doyle Brunson wrote he would always bet all his...
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