Forum: Books and Publications
05-15-2007, 02:25 AM
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Replies: 19
Views: 136
Re: Post Removed by Mason Malmuth
Mason,
The post you deleted was simply meant to be a response to the question that phydaux asked earlier in this thread:
[ QUOTE ]
Tell us more about the book you and John are writing...
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Forum: Books and Publications
05-14-2007, 11:37 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 136
Post Removed by Mason Malmuth
I'm sorry, but I have removed your post. There are two reasons for this.
First off, it is simply an advertisement for your future books. While it is our policy to allow authors to answer questions...
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Forum: Books and Publications
05-14-2007, 10:25 PM
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Replies: 19
Views: 136
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Forum: Books and Publications
05-13-2007, 09:49 AM
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Replies: 19
Views: 136
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-25-2007, 06:54 PM
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Replies: 33
Views: 159
Re: Derivation of Independent Chip Model (ICM)
Ultimately, the proper way to do tournament analysis is to take into account everyone's pushing and calling distributions as a function of stack size and to calculate explicitly the optimal moves to...
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-23-2007, 10:33 PM
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Replies: 33
Views: 159
Re: Derivation of Independent Chip Model (ICM)
[ QUOTE ]
Tony
There is a simpler way to see that P(1st) =S/T.
If all players have equal skill level then your expected number of chips after "infinitely" many hands = S (ie your chip count should...
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-23-2007, 10:29 PM
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Replies: 33
Views: 159
Re: Derivation of Independent Chip Model (ICM)
beserious,
Thanks for the article reference. I really want to read the article, but the link you provided doesn't work /images/graemlins/frown.gif
I concede that I used the word "proof/prove"...
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-23-2007, 10:06 PM
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Replies: 33
Views: 159
Re: Derivation of Independent Chip Model (ICM)
There is clearly a lot of think about on the software front. I know a non-commital stance is sometimes seen as the easy way out, but I'm taking one here.
I lean towards saying that such a...
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-22-2007, 11:45 PM
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Replies: 33
Views: 159
Re: Derivation of Independent Chip Model (ICM)
As a blanket response to the posts I've seen so far, the point of this post was to provide justification for a mathematical model that most players blindly use without knowing why its actually true....
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-21-2007, 02:39 PM
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Replies: 47
Views: 172
Re: Existence of -cEV yet +Equity Plays?
Based on some of the posts on this thread, I started another thread discussing the derivation of the ICM formula. I decided that it's related to this thread but that it deserved its own thread. I...
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-21-2007, 02:36 PM
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Replies: 33
Views: 159
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-21-2007, 06:39 AM
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Replies: 47
Views: 172
Re: Existence of -cEV yet +Equity Plays?
[ QUOTE ]
Quote:
There was some Gigabet thread in the MTT forum 2 1/2 years or so ago where he made some KJo call on a resteal in a 2-table SNG where there was a lot of good discussion on...
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-21-2007, 06:21 AM
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Replies: 47
Views: 172
Re: Existence of -cEV yet +Equity Plays?
Collin,
I hope I'm not misinterpreting your notation, but I don't think I can high five your QED because it looks like, to me, you're cranking expected stack sizes in. When using ICM, we can't...
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-20-2007, 08:10 PM
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Replies: 47
Views: 172
Re: Existence of -cEV yet +Equity Plays?
Ugh...have to pick up my girlfriend soon...just when some interesting discussion is developing. I'll put something really detailed up here in a few hours. For now, I'll just say that assuming...
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Forum: STT Strategy
04-20-2007, 07:14 PM
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Replies: 47
Views: 172
Re: Existence of -cEV yet +Equity Plays?
Tony Guerrera here. Collin...thanks for tossing this up on the forum! My intuitive response to this issue was "hell no!" and I'm still sticking with it; however, my general approach to such things is...
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Forum: Small Stakes
03-12-2007, 06:56 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 151
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Forum: Small Stakes
03-12-2007, 06:42 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 151
Re: 100NL Basic AK hand (poker 101)
Novles,
Fair enough yourself. We start at opposite ends of the spectrum with our base assumptions about typical players (you assume light and I assume tight). We could probably start a whole...
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Forum: Small Stakes
03-12-2007, 06:24 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 151
Re: 100NL Basic AK hand (poker 101)
Novles,
We might be in a "battle of semantics" here /images/graemlins/smile.gif When I hear or use "blind battle," it usually connotes that people are raising and reraising with looser...
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Forum: Small Stakes
03-12-2007, 06:18 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 151
Re: 100NL Basic AK hand (poker 101)
Calling as opposed to 4-betting is not being "results oriented." It's about adopting the line of play that leads to the highest overall EV. Just because someone reraises you, it does not mean that...
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Forum: Small Stakes
03-12-2007, 05:42 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 151
Re: 100NL Basic AK hand (poker 101)
I don't like 4-betting more and shoving the flop. If your opponent calls your larger 4-bet, you are behind in the hand (your opponent is on something like [AA,99]||[AK]...I think AK is doubtful). And...
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Forum: Small Stakes
03-12-2007, 05:35 PM
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Replies: 9
Views: 42
Re: Trips vs turn shove
I put the villain on a straight or a boat (probably a boat). This play is really common, and in lower stakes games, it can be quite profitable against opponents who haven't seen it before. When the...
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Forum: Small Stakes
03-12-2007, 05:21 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 151
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Forum: Small Stakes
03-12-2007, 05:19 PM
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Replies: 18
Views: 63
Re: 100NL- AK double 3-bet PF. Call or raise?
Shorhanded NL hold'em is all about playing small pots OOP and large pots IP. I've worked with a few people on their shorthanded game, and this is the biggest thing that has helped them. 4-betting OOP...
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Forum: Small Stakes
03-12-2007, 04:49 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 32
Re: NL100 - bottom 2pair in multiwaypot?
With the two short stacks, the only action past the flop is if the MP player is involved. The one line of play I didn't cover is if MP calls instead of raises. If MP just calls, and no draws hit, I...
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Forum: Small Stakes
03-12-2007, 04:45 PM
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Replies: 39
Views: 151
Re: 100NL Basic AK hand (poker 101)
How much do you know about the BB? Has he done much reraising at all? If he hasn't been reraising and he suddenly comes out with a min reraise, he has AA or KK. Add the fact that you are OOP for...
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