Forum: Sports Betting
11-06-2007, 02:38 AM
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Replies: 6
Views: 110
Re: Risk of Ruin
Thanks. Big help. Honestly, if you don't have anything intelligent to add, just stay away. All I did was ask a simple question.
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-06-2007, 02:00 AM
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Replies: 6
Views: 110
Risk of Ruin
I've been looking for a formula to calculate risk of ruin in for sports betting, but I can't seem to find one. All I see is the formula for poker. Anybody out there that can help me out?
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-30-2007, 12:12 PM
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Replies: 91
Views: 1,211
Re: Botting the NHL
MrBlueNose,
I was wondering what you use to bot. I don't mean the data or anything like that. But what programs? I'm looking to slowly learn how to do something like this and I was wondering if...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-24-2007, 10:31 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 78
Re: Math Question
While the link is informative and is exactly what I need, I don't have the slightest idea how to implement that in Excel. Any clue?
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-24-2007, 09:23 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 78
Re: Math Question
Well, with a little research I may have figured this out. What I found was that I needed to estimate my standard deviation by taking the square root of my win pct. times 1-win pct with that divided...
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Forum: Sports Betting
10-24-2007, 09:10 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 78
Math Question
I was wondering if anyone with some stats skills can help me out here. I just started keeping track of my bets in excel. I was wondering if anyone knows how to do a confidence interval based on my...
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Forum: Sports Betting
07-02-2007, 10:27 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 88
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-30-2007, 01:37 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
In my eyes, it's a question of how far you want to break things down. How big is the change for someone like Brandon Webb with a good infield behind him compared to a poor one? On levels like this, I...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-30-2007, 01:20 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
Well, at least the math is correct. Lol.
The Yankees game is probably a bad example just because it's the Yankees and public opinion sways that line more than anything.
I guess I'm just happy...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-30-2007, 01:02 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
I calc'd Oakland to -109. Some of my numbers have been pretty drastic lately and I'm not too sure why. I'm starting to think that I may be doing something wrong. I have the As giving up 4.24 runs and...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-30-2007, 11:55 AM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
I just entered my data or the As/Yankees game, and since we have similar system I'm not surprised they are in agreement here. I'm really wondering what vegas is thinking on that line, because I just...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-29-2007, 04:34 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
yeah, there is one sheet per team which has the bullpen stats pulled from fangraphs.com
I just cant figure out how to type Royals in cell A1 and have the IP/HR/BB/KK show up in cell A2,A3...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-29-2007, 04:28 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
Ummm, not really. I'm not articulating myself clearly here, but I'm not really sure how. I basically need the first two parts of the vlookup formula to be the same.
=vlookup(b2,*b2!A1:b2,column...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-29-2007, 04:14 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-29-2007, 04:02 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
Ok, I understand what you mean, but here's another question. I defined my range as "royals"
Where you have the word data in your vlookup formula, i want that to correspond to the cell with the...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-29-2007, 02:50 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
OK, I have a bit of an Excel question and I'm hoping it is ok to ask it here.
Basically, what I am trying to do is run a VLOOKUP to another sheet that has bullpen data on it. My problem is I don't...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-29-2007, 02:01 PM
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Replies: 36
Views: 166
Re: Irisheyes\' MLB Overnight Robot
I just went through all of my numbers and I'm in agreement with you for the Dodgers. My system has it as a really bigplay. Apparently, it likes what it sees in Kuo. I'll be interested to see how it...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-28-2007, 02:24 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
Well, I ran the numbers for the rest of the games today.
They will be listed as follows:
Pick : BetEd Line : My 20c Line: My 10c Line: "Value"
For value, I took the BetEd line and turned it...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-28-2007, 01:28 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
Yeah, Blanton is definitely having a better year, bar none. This will be one of those things I'll keep an eye on as the system progresses...finding the happy medium in regressing this year's stats to...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-28-2007, 01:15 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
With the Toronto game, it looks a lot better as a dime line @ -145, in my opinion. That's the problem with these 20 cent lines, they really put a heavy price on the favorites.
Back to the Oak/Cle...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-28-2007, 01:05 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
Honestly, I was a little suprised by that too. By the numbers, there really isn't much difference in Byrd and Blanton. At least, based on FIP there isn't. The reason the line gets so skewed is...
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Forum: Sports Betting
06-28-2007, 12:22 PM
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Replies: 287
Views: 1,439
Re: TomG\'s Robot Professional MLB Betting
OK, I sort of have something similar set up so I'd liket o share my lines here, too. Maybe as a comparison of systems, I guess. I have 20 cent lines at BetEd so that's what I'll be using compared to...
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