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Posts Made By:
kdotsky
Forum:
Business, Finance, and Investing
07-04-2007, 01:22 PM
Replies:
2
What's my 401k+Roth line?
Views:
59
Posted By
kdotsky
What\'s my 401k+Roth line?
Hi all,
I just started working full time and have been meaning to set up my asset allocation of what I have in my Roth and 401k. I'm 25 and would like an aggressive portfolio. I have 4k in my Roth...
Forum:
Business, Finance, and Investing
05-25-2007, 04:04 AM
Replies:
57
Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
Views:
362
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
[ QUOTE ]
This debate is over my contention that you can have an edge because you have somehow evaluated one aspect of the stock better than others have, even if you know nothing else about the...
Forum:
Business, Finance, and Investing
05-25-2007, 03:43 AM
Replies:
57
Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
Views:
362
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
[ QUOTE ]
And how can you tell whether any errors made by "the public" in one factor, isn't more than offset by errors the public made in all other factors?
[/ QUOTE ]
You're right, you can't...
Forum:
Business, Finance, and Investing
05-24-2007, 08:08 PM
Replies:
57
Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
Views:
362
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
I have no reason to believe I'll explain it any better, but I'll try anyway:
1) the market is efficient, ON AVERAGE
2) we see one aspect of the stock we think is unaccounted for
3) we can assume...
Forum:
Business, Finance, and Investing
05-24-2007, 07:51 PM
Replies:
57
Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
Views:
362
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
[ QUOTE ]
OK, lets put it differently. As long as only a few people know an angle they couldn't possibly move the price to what they think is correct. Because the closer they moved it to that price...
Forum:
Business, Finance, and Investing
05-24-2007, 06:30 PM
Replies:
57
Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
Views:
362
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
[ QUOTE ]
In most cases they, if "they" exist, don't correct it all the way. Just like in sports betting. Partly because they aren't rich enough and partly because there would be no point to.
[/...
Forum:
Business, Finance, and Investing
05-24-2007, 06:15 AM
Replies:
57
Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
Views:
362
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Still Have 40,000 Shares of IMMR
[ QUOTE ]
Meanwhile I still own 10,000 shares of TASR which I told everybody two months ago I bought at 7.80 (because I thought people were overacting to rare deaths) and it is now about 9.40.
...
Forum:
Other Other Topics
05-05-2007, 12:56 AM
Replies:
114
Be a millionaire but take this low-paying job, please.
Views:
409
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Be a millionaire but take this low-paying job, please.
oats runner
Forum:
Other Other Topics
05-02-2007, 05:01 PM
Replies:
249
Poll:
My friend got the crap beat out of him by a cop (true story, tl:dr)
Views:
774
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: My friend got the crap beat out of him by a cop (true story, tl:d
My friend's brother got his ass kicked by plain clothes police officers. One of his friends did something stupid, the cop tried physically stopping him, my friend's brother jumped in unaware it was...
Forum:
Poker Legislation
04-25-2007, 01:54 PM
Replies:
75
Poll:
Update on Washington State Bills
Views:
467
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Update on Washington State Bills
The new thread on this topic reported this pokerpages article (http://www.pokerpages.com/poker-news/news/washington-state-online-poker-is-no-longer-a-felony-in-homes-29674.htm), stating that it is no...
Forum:
Poker Legislation
04-24-2007, 01:47 PM
Replies:
75
Poll:
Update on Washington State Bills
Views:
467
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Update on Washington State Bills
From the "Bill as Passed Legislature document: (http://www.leg.wa.gov/pub/billinfo/2007-08/Pdf/Bills/House%20Passed%20Legislature/1243.PL.pdf) "
[ QUOTE ]
Passed by the House April 17, 2007...
Forum:
Poker Legislation
04-24-2007, 01:35 PM
Replies:
75
Poll:
Update on Washington State Bills
Views:
467
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Update on Washington State Bills
[ QUOTE ]
it's been passed by both the house and senate, according to leg.wa.gov
[/ QUOTE ]
All of the links are coming from that site. Please be more specific. The "Bills Passed by the...
Forum:
Poker Legislation
04-11-2007, 06:37 PM
Replies:
7
My tax preparer told me to claim timed rake as a loss.
Views:
65
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: My tax preparer told me to claim timed rake as a loss.
[ QUOTE ]
your tax preparer is mentally challenged
[/ QUOTE ]
No, they were correct to think it was a deduction. They simply didn't know that players typically pay time out of their stack,...
Forum:
Business, Finance, and Investing
04-02-2007, 06:04 PM
Replies:
17
investing with student loans
Views:
117
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: investing with student loans
[ QUOTE ]
Note that you're going to be taking on a ton of variance relative to your expected return. Your StD is going to be about 10x your return. For a normal investment in say a total stock...
Forum:
Business, Finance, and Investing
04-02-2007, 04:40 AM
Replies:
17
investing with student loans
Views:
117
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: investing with student loans
[ QUOTE ]
is the 10%+ guaranteed? or are you just assuming you'll make this?
[/ QUOTE ]
The 10%+ is not guaranteed, but it is the expected long run return. Is this a reasonable expectation...
Forum:
Business, Finance, and Investing
04-02-2007, 03:26 AM
Replies:
17
investing with student loans
Views:
117
Posted By
kdotsky
investing with student loans
I have about 20k in student loan debt with an interest rate of about 7%. Payments and capitalization start this summer, when I will also be starting my first full time job. I just discovered that...
Forum:
Special Sklansky Forum
03-28-2007, 02:46 PM
Replies:
46
Question For Sit n Go Pros
Views:
623
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Question For Sit n Go Pros
I'm not a pro, but the pros will tell you not true and that their distributions are something like 14/13/12 or 14/12/11.
What's the reasoning for the distribution you asked about?
Forum:
Science, Math, and Philosophy
02-23-2007, 03:12 AM
Replies:
53
Eating Meat, Preference or Necessity?
Views:
204
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Eating Meat, Preference or Necessity?
[ QUOTE ]
Yes, it is EXACTLY like that. Some animals feel pain and suffering to a far greater extent than others. Humans probably suffer the most. Fish probably don't suffer at all, or feel...
Forum:
Other Other Topics
02-14-2007, 01:51 AM
Replies:
36
Poll:
usps mailman stole package. whats my play?
Views:
177
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: usps mailman stole package. whats my play?
The same thing happened to me very recently.
- Ordered a package from Amazon
- Tracking said it was delivered
- I call UPS and they say I need to call Amazon so they can
contact UPS and...
Forum:
Special Sklansky Forum
12-29-2006, 03:43 PM
Replies:
105
General Gambling Questions For Me
Views:
1,515
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: General Gambling Questions For Me
How many consecutive times does someone have to win the lottery to make it more likely that they are a time traveler than they're very lucky?
Assume the probability they are cheating or the...
Forum:
Special Sklansky Forum
12-16-2006, 06:50 PM
Replies:
830
New Fight Question
Views:
7,945
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Alexey-Ignashov-destroying-a-boxer clip.
[ QUOTE ]
I'm going to take an opposite tack from both sides. There IS no hard evidence out there because nobody even close to a top boxer has ever been in UFC, Pride, what-not, and none with a...
Forum:
Special Sklansky Forum
12-16-2006, 06:46 PM
Replies:
830
New Fight Question
Views:
7,945
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Alexey-Ignashov-destroying-a-boxer clip.
[ QUOTE ]
There IS no hard evidence out there because nobody even close to a top boxer has ever been in UFC, Pride, what-not, and none with a brain in his head ever would. The money is just not...
Forum:
Special Sklansky Forum
12-16-2006, 02:55 PM
Replies:
830
New Fight Question
Views:
7,945
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Alexey-Ignashov-destroying-a-boxer clip.
[ QUOTE ]
Good try though. Don't let the facts stand in the way of arguing against something nobody said.
[/ QUOTE ]
What facts. Every piece of hard evidence out there indicates that the...
Forum:
Special Sklansky Forum
12-16-2006, 02:21 PM
Replies:
830
New Fight Question
Views:
7,945
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Alexey-Ignashov-destroying-a-boxer clip.
[ QUOTE ]
I wasn't talking about Bruce Lee.
I was.
It might be easier to read the post you quote in your reply if you're actually talking about a completely unrelated subject. To avoid...
Forum:
Special Sklansky Forum
12-16-2006, 02:10 PM
Replies:
830
New Fight Question
Views:
7,945
Posted By
kdotsky
Re: Alexey-Ignashov-destroying-a-boxer clip.
[ QUOTE ]
Boxing is not fighting. Standing on your feet and punching the upper half of each others body is a small subset of what is allowed in a real fight.
Is saying "cut! That guy almost...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 176
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