#1
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UTG with A8o and my last chance...
...to push with good fold equity. In less than a minute the blinds will be 100/200.
I'm fairly certain pushing is -$ev from from a pure ICM standpoint. If I get lucky enough to steal the blinds here I'll have more chances to steal for one round with the blinds at 100/200. If I fold, I have to wait for a big hand that probably won't come in time. I am a little lost as to guidelines for what kind of hands to push here. Surely we can't just wait for something that gives us a +.05% $ev edge if we push. Should we add the hands that are down to 0.0% edge? Or do we need to gamble even more? Poker Stars No Limit Holdem Tournament Blinds: t75/t150 9 players Converter Stack sizes: Hero: t1135 UTG+1: t1740 MP1: t1917 MP2: t1335 MP3: t733 CO: t174 Button: t2685 SB: t3028 BB: t753 Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is UTG with 8sAh |
#2
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Re: UTG with A8o and my last chance...
Ooops mis-read the hand, thought the blinds were already 100-200. I think that makes a bit of a difference and I'm probably going to fold.
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#3
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Re: UTG with A8o and my last chance...
This is a fold. You simply can't push A-rag through this many villains unless desperately short. Although you are short, you still have life. Get through the blinds and hope to find a better spot.
Better spot = better hand, or good position to open from. |
#4
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Re: UTG with A8o and my last chance...
[ QUOTE ]
This is a fold. You simply can't push A-rag through this many villains unless desperately short. Although you are short, you still have life. Get through the blinds and hope to find a better spot. Better spot = better hand, or good position to open from. [/ QUOTE ] You may be right about A80 specifically, but aren't there some hands here that I can't justify pushing here from an ICM standpoint but can justify from a standpoint of the need to keep my stack size healthy enough to steal later? |
#5
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Re: UTG with A8o and my last chance...
You didn't misread, they aren't at 100/200 yet but they will be the time I finish going through them.
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#6
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Re: UTG with A8o and my last chance...
[ QUOTE ]
You didn't misread, they aren't at 100/200 yet but they will be the time I finish going through them. [/ QUOTE ] OK, the more and more I think about this hand: it's a fold, blinds going up or not. |
#7
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Re: UTG with A8o and my last chance...
With 100/200 blinds you still have folding equity with 800 chips.
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#8
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Re: UTG with A8o and my last chance...
[ QUOTE ]
With 100/200 blinds you still have folding equity with 800 chips. [/ QUOTE ] Exactly. So, you don't need to be taking -EV spots yet. |
#9
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Re: UTG with A8o and my last chance...
Right now (at 75/150) your M is 5. Provided your stack size remains the same, at the 100/200 your M drops to 3.8, so I understand wanting to push.
However, you have a mediocre hand in horrible position. Also, you have a decent stack size. Your M is low, but so is the rest of the table. The big stack will barely have an M of 10 once the new level hits. I wait for a better spot. |
#10
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Re: UTG with A8o and my last chance...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] With 100/200 blinds you still have folding equity with 800 chips. [/ QUOTE ] Exactly. So, you don't need to be taking -EV spots yet. [/ QUOTE ] |
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