#31
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Re: Flopped trips
[ QUOTE ]
There's no way we can protect our hand against a FD (which is the only hand we'd really like to get rid of here). [/ QUOTE ] O RLY? Pot is 6.5 SB on the turn. Flop bettor makes it 7.5 and we're making it 9.5-2 to call. At 4.75-1, that's not enough to call with an eight-out flush draw (A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] boats us up). [/ QUOTE ] 9.5-2 is enough to draw to an 8 out flush because 1) they won't fold so they really only need a bit less than 2-1 to peel the flop and 2) the donker will almost surely call anyway, giving them 10.5-2 even if everyone else folds. If the donker has the flush draw, and you could guarantee that a raise would fold everyone else out, then the donker is paying 2 to win 8.5, and even he has enough to continue. You cannot protect yourself against a flush draw here. That said, raise for value! The flush draw (should it exist) is +EV, but somebody else is paying for it. |
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