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#21
11-15-2007, 05:47 PM
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Re: Tough OOP hand w/ A3s
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[ QUOTE ] I think given the action up until this point most of these hands are pretty unlikely and if they do have these hands they just fold to the crai. Betting the turn seems like tbe best way to get value from this range of hands. [/ QUOTE ] i know, and i agree. we went over this 2 posts ago [/ QUOTE ] Lol, I see that now. Was in the middle of typing that when the other posts were made. 
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#22
11-15-2007, 05:53 PM
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Re: Tough OOP hand w/ A3s
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you have to think about whether is betting range or his calling range that we beat is bigger? since the 9 got there on the river...i'd just check and let him bluff his missed draws which there are a bunch of. And if the villain was aggressive, he might read our turn play as weak and push over a river bet (albeit he'd probably just put us on a 9 that played the turn bad). but whatever, i prefer check-calling the river. [/ QUOTE ] The only thing is he only has $60 left in a $90 pot, so there is no chance of him pushing over a river bet (i.e. I'm either effectively pushing or check/calling)... With that in mind, does it increase or decrease his probability of bluffing the river...? (not mocking, I honestly don't know) thx
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#23
11-15-2007, 06:01 PM
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Re: Tough OOP hand w/ A3s
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] you have to think about whether is betting range or his calling range that we beat is bigger? since the 9 got there on the river...i'd just check and let him bluff his missed draws which there are a bunch of. And if the villain was aggressive, he might read our turn play as weak and push over a river bet (albeit he'd probably just put us on a 9 that played the turn bad). but whatever, i prefer check-calling the river. [/ QUOTE ] The only thing is he only has $60 left in a $90 pot, so there is no chance of him pushing over a river bet (i.e. I'm either effectively pushing or check/calling)... With that in mind, does it increase or decrease his probability of bluffing the river...? (not mocking, I honestly don't know) thx [/ QUOTE ] i think his chance of pusing over your bet is small given the stack sizes. just put villain on a range of hands and go from there.
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