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  #31  
Old 11-04-2007, 08:19 PM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Default Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

Adding 2 more units Alabama -4

I think this is an overreaction to the UK win where MSU enjoyed a 6-1 turnover advantage against injury-riddled UK. Sagarin predictor has Bama 15.5 (!) better on a neutral, and realistically I'd be shocked if MSU were to win outright.

The coaching matchup is Sly Croom vs. Nick Saban, I don't think Saban lets Bama lose to a clearly inferior team...potential Miss St. bettors, just think how you'll be feeling when they do the split-screen view of the coaches. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #32  
Old 11-04-2007, 08:32 PM
Austiger Austiger is offline
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Default Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

[ QUOTE ]
The coaching matchup is Sly Croom vs. Nick Saban, I don't think Saban lets Bama lose to a clearly inferior team...potential Miss St. bettors, just think how you'll be feeling when they do the split-screen view of the coaches. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Unless they are scoring based on recruiting rankings I'd be okay with it. Croom isn't Miles. Saban almost lost to Houston and Ole Miss this year, and lost to UAB while at LSU. What would worry me if I bet on MSU would be Bama's receiving corps. Then again, it's letdown time for Bama. I don't like either team at that line. In fact, I don't like much of anything I'm seeing. I can't believe they got the Auburn line right. Cal +4.5 looks good, but I don't know...
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  #33  
Old 11-04-2007, 08:34 PM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Default Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

Just got a unit of Cal +4.5.
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  #34  
Old 11-04-2007, 08:36 PM
iggymcfly iggymcfly is offline
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Default Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

[ QUOTE ]
The coaching matchup is Sly Croom vs. Nick Saban, I don't think Saban lets Bama lose to a clearly inferior team...potential Miss St. bettors, just think how you'll be feeling when they do the split-screen view of the coaches. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

That bill s in your name doesn't stand for Bill Simmons does it? Is this Kentucky stuff just a cover to hide your secret identity?
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  #35  
Old 11-04-2007, 08:42 PM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Default Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
The coaching matchup is Sly Croom vs. Nick Saban, I don't think Saban lets Bama lose to a clearly inferior team...potential Miss St. bettors, just think how you'll be feeling when they do the split-screen view of the coaches. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

That bill s in your name doesn't stand for Bill Simmons does it? Is this Kentucky stuff just a cover to hide your secret identity?

[/ QUOTE ]

hehehe I stole it from him...nice catch though
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  #36  
Old 11-04-2007, 08:46 PM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Default Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

Wow big moves toward Bama, Louisville...wish I had gotten more of Louisville +17 but I was afraid of it going the other way.
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  #37  
Old 11-04-2007, 09:53 PM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Default Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

Kentucky -3.5
FSU +6
UNC +4
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  #38  
Old 11-04-2007, 09:57 PM
iggymcfly iggymcfly is offline
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Default Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

BTW, I think Air Force should be favored by at least a TD at Notre Dame. In addition to probably being that much better on pure talent, the matchups are perfect for them. They lost to Navy largely because their rush defense is one of the biggest weaknesses on the team. With their 56 rushing YPG average though, ND won't be able to take advantage of that at all.

Also, if Notre Dame has a strength on their whole team, it's pass defense, but considering Air Force runs the ball over 75% of the time, that's pretty useless too. If I were to guess a final score for this game, it would be something like 27-14 Air Force.
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  #39  
Old 11-04-2007, 10:10 PM
Jazzy3113 Jazzy3113 is offline
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Default Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

bills217, when using your suggestions are your 1u picks based on a bankroll of 100u?
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  #40  
Old 11-04-2007, 10:16 PM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Default Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines

Missouri line really moving too...that 16.5 would've been nice.
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