Week 11 NCAA Early Lines
 

I'll be posting my opinions around 5ish, after the Bills game.

Sounds like last week was a tough week for most of the NCAA guys here...let's get it back!

Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines
 

Date placed:
Nov 03, 2007 1:23a


Date settled:
Nov 03, 2007 10:11p

5 Team Parlay # 91781301
Football - College Lines (Game) Pointspread
(378) Virginia +1 (-115) Sat@12:00p


Final Scores
Wake Forest 16
Virginia 17


Football - College Lines (Game) Pointspread
(332) Kansas -20 Sat@12:30p


Final Scores
Nebraska 39
Kansas 76


Football - College Lines (Game) Pointspread
(337) Navy +3 (-105) Sat@2:30p


Final Scores
Navy 46
Notre Dame 44


Football - College Lines (Game) Pointspread
(318) North Carolina -3 (+110) Sat@3:45p


Final Scores
Maryland 13
North Carolina 16


Football - College Lines (Game) Pointspread
(348) Oregon -7 (-120) Sat@6:45p
(Bought 0.5 points)

Final Scores
Arizona State 23
Oregon 35


Outcome:
Win


Risk $200.00 to win $5165.70

UNC pushed because of a bad number, so It only paid 2555.10. Ive bet for a year and a half now and it was the first 5 teamer I've hit yet. Sorry, had to post it.

Rush

Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines
 

Auburn @ Georgia -3
Louisville @ WVU -17
Bama -6 @ Miss St.
Florida -6.5 @ SC

Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines
 

Rush,

Nice hit. FWIW, those were pretty much all bad numbers. But congrats anyway. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines
 

Yea, thats what happens when you say f it on your last 200 in bodog because they screw me now anyways. I cant get any of their good numbers on dogs because they give me their "other" lines.

Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines
 

[ QUOTE ]
Auburn @ Georgia -3
Louisville @ WVU -17
Bama -6 @ Miss St.
Florida -6.5 @ SC

[/ QUOTE ]

At first glance I think you are shaded too much towards the fave on all 4 here.

Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines
 

[ QUOTE ]
Yea, thats what happens when you say f it on your last 200 in bodog because they screw me now anyways. I cant get any of their good numbers on dogs because they give me their "other" lines.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol that's funny I'm basically doing the same thing w/ my remaining bodog balance in wong teasers today...looking good so far. Stupid bodog. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines
 

Louisville @ West Virginia -16
Michigan -2.5 @ Wisconsin
Wake Forest @ Clemson -7
UNC @ NC State PK
Minnesota @ Iowa -11
Michigan State @ Purdue -7
Texas A&M @ Missouri -1000
Alabama -6 @ Mississippi State (decide I agree w/ austiger here)

Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines
 

Auburn @ Georgia -2.5
Florida -7 @ South Carolina
Louisville @ West Virginia -14.5
Michigan -3 @ Wisconsin
Florida State @ Virginia Tech -3
Wake Forest @ Clemson -7.5
Fresno State @ Hawaii -13

Re: Week 11 NCAA Early Lines
 

Arkansas @ Tennessee -2.5? (Jekyll and Hyde Game of the Year)
Illinois @ Ohio State -16
Auburn @ UGA PK

I know UGA is playing better now that Moreno is getting the carries, but if Auburn can handle the Arkansas running game I'm confident they can handle UGA's. Plus they come out like world beaters in these road games and should be looking for revenge after UGA embarrased them last year. I hate disagreeing with Austiger on his area of expertise but I think 3 is too many here.

Kentucky -4.5 @ Vanderbilt, O/U 58.5

Tough game to cap really. Kentucky coming off a bye week after a horrid performance at home to Miss. St, Vandy licking their wounds after getting pounded in the Swamp. HFA for Vandy is minimal, maybe 1 point - UK will have approx. 50% of the fans, crowd noise won't be an issue, 2.5 hr drive from Lexington. Just last season, the books had UK a 1-point dog at home to Vandy, although I think that line was significantly off and UK handled them easily. Keenan Burton (the most important player to UK's offense besides Woodson), who missed the MSU game, should play, as should #2 RB Tony Dixon (I'd call them probable), who also missed the MSU game. I'd call #1 RB Rafael Little questionable with a deep thigh bruise - he has been a notorious Vandy killer. UK Safety Marcus McClinton is out for the regular season, but there is only a small drop-off to his backup who has seen plenty of playing time. If Burton is out for whatever reason, line should be revised down to 2.5ish.

Mackenzie Adams, a pocket passer, has started the last few games for Vandy in lieu of the more mobile Chris Nickson, who gave UK fits last year - I would expect Adams to start until I hear otherwise, although Vandy would be smart to play Nickson at least a little.