#41
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
[ QUOTE ]
why the [censored] is beckett still in? the red sox are channeling the spirit of bob brenly here. [/ QUOTE ] If he would have came out in the 5th, he could have pitched in game 4 if the Rox steal the next two or something. Even if he won't pitch until game 5, why risk a fluke injury in the cold after sitting so long? That's what long middle relievers are for. And as I type this Joe brings up this very point. |
#42
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
[ QUOTE ]
why the [censored] is beckett still in? the red sox are channeling the spirit of bob brenly here. [/ QUOTE ] The announcers keep hammering this. I don't get it either. He could've easily pitched game 4 if he was pulled in the 5th. |
#43
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
[ QUOTE ]
That's what long Gagnes are for. [/ QUOTE ] |
#44
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
Can someone plz tell me what the ballpark price was if I had bet Boston to sweep?
My local guy didn't have a number, so I just bet Game One, with the intent of parlaying it throughout. |
#45
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
Bodog had Boston sweeping at 4-1 fwiw
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#46
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
[ QUOTE ]
Bodog had Boston sweeping at 4-1 fwiw [/ QUOTE ] Bodog's lines are terrible, shame you can't play betfair, there's like $300 available at +600 and +590 now |
#47
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
If you trust King Yao's numbers for each game, which were posted in this thread, the true price at the beginning of the series was around +760.
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#48
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
wow the guy who does MLB prop lines at the greek was really asleep at the switch this morning.
example of the carnage: rockies to win series 4-1 opened at +4050. first max bet moves the line to +4000. second max bet moves it to +2250. i guess that woke them up. i honestly think a savvy bettor could have locked in a 10% no-risk profit by picking off the best lines and arbing them elsewhere. anyway, to keep this post from going the way of BBV, one decent bet i have no further use for: Red Sox to win series 4-2, +365. 13% edge from where i stand. edit: already gone. no $100 bills lying around in the street and all that... edit 2: god bless intertops being too lazy to make their own prop lines, so they copy greek. best bet is probably boston in 7 at 7-1, 35% edge. boston in 6 at 4-1 offers a 22% edge. |
#49
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
[ QUOTE ]
If you trust King Yao's numbers for each game, which were posted in this thread, the true price at the beginning of the series was around +760. [/ QUOTE ] i posted my pre-series numbers at the playoff odds blog. by the way, i think my big off-season project will be to make the stone-cold best playoff odds site out there. ambitious, but hopefully possible. stay tuned. |
#50
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
[ QUOTE ]
example of the carnage: rockies to win series 4-1 opened at +4050. first max bet moves the line to +4000. second max bet moves it to +2250. i guess that woke them up. [/ QUOTE ] Crock, What do you have for the true line on this prop? SIA has +2500...any value there? |
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