#17
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Re: crockpot\'s \"i ran out of cash/hit my limits\" WS props thread
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What's are the odds of a team sweeping? Bodog has the following prop: Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox - Will either team sweep the series Yes +300 No -600 Doesn't seem to be any value on either side, but I'd be interested in knowing the mathematical % chance of sweeping for either team. [/ QUOTE ] Yao's numbers give BOS in 4 an 11.2% likelihood and COL in 4 a 2.9% likelihood. A sweep thus occurs 14.1% of the time (fair at +608) using his guesstimated lines. The "No" has a 0.22% edge if Yao's lines are perfect. |
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