NFL Thursday

[phifediggy]

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To win 1 unit on each:

Colts -6 (-105)

Under 53.5

Colts PK & Under 59

Also have Colts PK in 3 other teasers/parlays

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3-0, +3 units YTD

[pokergrader]

Saints offense put up a total of 3 points. That is just ugly.

[brendanb438]

Yeah for me and my fantasy football pool at work. Drew Brees is my starting QB while I passed on J Addai for Frank Gore. Addai goes down on that first play and then comes back to rock it out with his [censored] out.

[shipitkthx]

Tried out exchange betting with small units, end results:

NO +5.5 risk 10u to win 10u = LOSE
NO +5.5 risk 1u to win 1.6u = LOSE
IND -5.5 risk 10u to win 12.4u = WIN
Profit = 1.4u - 3.29% Juice = +1.3594u

[pokerbobo]

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I don't know much about sports betting, but isn't it bad to bet the favorite minus the points AND the under?

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As a general rule of thumb you are correct.... this game was a bit odd in that regard, but the Colts and the under made sense.

Looks like some gamblas here made money tonite, maybe the Saints and Over players are remaining hidden.

FWIW.. I hit 1H under, Final under, and threw in a play on Cinci in CFB, which turned out to be a laugher. 3-0, + 4 units. Hooray.

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I don't know much about sports betting, but isn't it bad to bet the favorite minus the points AND the under?

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As a general rule of thumb you are correct....

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Why?

[pokerbobo]

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I don't know much about sports betting, but isn't it bad to bet the favorite minus the points AND the under?

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As a general rule of thumb you are correct....

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Why?

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Because every time the favorite scores, it helps cover the spread, but gets you closer to going over the total.

For instance...say tonite, you had Indy -6 and the under at 53.5 Once the Saints score 24, there is no way to do better than a split. When it was 10-10 at halftime... two TDs from NO in the second half didnt seem out of the question.

It is a rule of thumb as I said.... not etched in stone.

[Thremp]

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I don't know much about sports betting, but isn't it bad to bet the favorite minus the points AND the under?

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As a general rule of thumb you are correct....

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Why?

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Correlation.

So if betting chalk/under is a bad idea, wouldn't it follow the betting dog/over is a good idea?

[Thremp]

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So if betting chalk/under is a bad idea, wouldn't it follow the betting dog/over is a good idea?

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No, thats the same idea.