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  #11  
Old 09-03-2007, 07:22 AM
scallop scallop is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL, I\'m bad w/ AK, and so I post...

He folds to a c-bet 66% of the time.

This is prety much the exsct % two unpaired cards make a pair.

So assume that he folds when he doesnt connect, and calls when he does. That means he deffinately has something here - his VPIP is high, so his range is large.

His aggression factor is low (whats his actual river af?) so when he bets I think he has one pair beaten. I think you can fold here.
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  #12  
Old 09-03-2007, 09:07 AM
bob_sacamano bob_sacamano is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL, I\'m bad w/ AK, and so I post...

bet the turn for sure. from there you can know what youre goin to do next.

as played, I'd fold it. Way too coordinated board and great for a BB hand.
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  #13  
Old 09-03-2007, 09:16 AM
Chomp Chomp is offline
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Default Re: 50 NL, I\'m bad w/ AK, and so I post...

I chk turn for a few reasons:

> So as not to get owned by a crai when I have a nice redraw
> I don't really mind letting villain draw to 3 outs if he has Kx
> I think villain is more likely to call a river vb than a turn one where he might fold a crappy K

On river, meh. I think he hit one of his outs (KQ) or had the FD all along. I don't think our turn chk so under-reps our hand that this passive villain suddenly thinks his KJ is worth a PSvB.
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