#1
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$25 NL - Hit set on river, should I bother raising here?
Only 33 hands on Villian: 39.39/12.12/1.33
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) MP1 ($28.70) MP2 ($9.10) Hero ($23.50) Button ($25.35) SB ($23.40) BB ($11.60) UTG ($26.30) UTG+1 ($8.75) Preflop: Hero is CO with 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $0.75, UTG+1 folds. Flop: ($2.35) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1.5</font>, BB calls $1.50. Turn: ($5.35) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, Hero checks. River: ($5.35) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $2</font>, Hero ... |
#2
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Re: $25 NL - Hit set on river, should I bother raising here?
No.
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#3
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Re: $25 NL - Hit set on river, should I bother raising here?
since villian is short, I would be willing to raise and put him all in. Hopefully he calls with top pair or something.
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#4
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Re: $25 NL - Hit set on river, should I bother raising here?
I don't mind a raise here. I think at this level you will see villains stack off with a weak K. A flush is the only hand you are worried about here. He may play K like this, as well as other PP's. I think he will likely call with decent K's.
I don't mind calling though. I think it is pretty marginal. Edit: What about betting the turn? |
#5
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Re: $25 NL - Hit set on river, should I bother raising here?
One thing I've learned is not to get into a pissing match when one card can beat you (any 4).
Plus with the flush out it makes a good part of his range that beats you, and also makes it less likely a TP hand will call a raise. So raising gets more money from villain into the pot when he's got better hand than you. Nice river. I just call. |
#6
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Re: $25 NL - Hit set on river, should I bother raising here?
He only has 7BB left. I'd raise. Shortstack donk factor means he can easily have a 2nd best hand here.
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#7
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Re: $25 NL - Hit set on river, should I bother raising here?
[ QUOTE ]
One thing I've learned is not to get into a pissing match when one card can beat you (any 4). Plus with the flush out it makes a good part of his range that beats you, and also makes it less likely a TP hand will call a raise. So raising gets more money from villain into the pot when he's got better hand than you. Nice river. I just call. [/ QUOTE ] I didn't notice the straight possibility. That changes my answer a bit. However, I don't think you should be too worried about a straight being in there that much. We have a limited read against a player that is loose, but not THAT loose. Having said that, I don't think a 4 is a very big part of his range. |
#8
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Re: $25 NL - Hit set on river, should I bother raising here?
[ QUOTE ]
I don't think a 4 is a very big part of his range. [/ QUOTE ] I don't think it is a big part of his overall range, but it is a big part of his range if he will call a raise isn't it? I think I agree with the idea that he won't call with too much that isn't a straight or a flush AND he hasn't really played the hand like someone with KQ would even if you can assume he would call a bet with KQ. This was kinda the reasoning I used to call rather than raise. |
#9
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Re: $25 NL - Hit set on river, should I bother raising here?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I don't think a 4 is a very big part of his range. [/ QUOTE ] I don't think it is a big part of his overall range, but it is a big part of his range if he will call a raise isn't it? I think I agree with the idea that he won't call with too much that isn't a straight or a flush AND he hasn't really played the hand like someone with KQ would even if you can assume he would call a bet with KQ. This was kinda the reasoning I used to call rather than raise. [/ QUOTE ] I understand what you are getting at. It really depends on whether or not you think this guy will call a raise with a K or MP. If not, then a call is best. I don't mind a call at all. |
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