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#11
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I think this is a pretty good topic hopefully some of the more experinced posters will chime in .
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#12
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I raise to $8. Donkbets piss me off.
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#13
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i don't think villian is folding many hands in his range to a raise of 6-8, aside from the random bs and maybe bottom or middle pair. on the other hand, folding still seems weak to me. i'm leaning towards a call. if the river blanks and villian checks, then this says i missed my draw to me and i'm checking behind to pot control and induce a bluff. def. folding to any further aggression though aside from spiking a jack on the turn.
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#14
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How is a raise to $8 into a $4 pot, as two posters have suggested, profitable? If you're done if you get called or raised, you'd have to induce a fold 2/3 of the time to break even, no? Do we really think that's realistic?
This brings us to a $6 bet, which would only have to induce a fold 60% of the time to break even, but which is imo much more likely to be called than the $8 bet. This doesn't sound like a great option, either. I like folding here, especially with no reads. If villain is bluffing, he got us, but I don't think he's bluffing 60%-67% of the time, and I think he will call a raise when he is bluffing an additional few percent, making both of our raise options unprofitable. |
#15
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interesting. i agree that raising is more or less pointless as he is not folding very often, but how often are you willing to float the flop here (assuming no reads)?
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#16
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Small pot, w/ no reads its better to assume hes conservative and fold. Get some reads on the guy and put yourself in a better position to make money.
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#17
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to a psb or smaller, against an unknown villian, i've been calling a high % of the time in this situation with position and again folding to further aggression. i think a sig. enough part of their range involves draws and weak hands to warrant a call. but i can def. see the args for folding. raising, i see now is clearly wrong.
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