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  #11  
Old 01-10-2007, 02:23 AM
Cornell Fiji Cornell Fiji is offline
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Default Re: How Slim an Overlay Will U Go Heads Up?

First hand is a call with 23o.

Your second call is so unbelievably bad that I will simply let others elaborate.
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  #12  
Old 01-10-2007, 02:33 AM
JNash JNash is offline
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Default Re: How Slim an Overlay Will U Go Heads Up?

At that stack size for SB, it is game-theoretically correct for him to push his top 90% and for you to call with your your top 90% -- which 65s definitely is.
Call is definitely, positively correct.
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  #13  
Old 01-10-2007, 02:40 AM
JNash JNash is offline
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Default Re: How Slim an Overlay Will U Go Heads Up?

The second play is just as obviously a fold as the first one was an obvious call.
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  #14  
Old 01-10-2007, 03:06 AM
wrschultz wrschultz is offline
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Default Re: How Slim an Overlay Will U Go Heads Up?

The second hand is just terrible, but the first one s totally standard.
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  #15  
Old 01-10-2007, 04:50 AM
JoseGonzlez JoseGonzlez is offline
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Default Re: How Slim an Overlay Will U Go Heads Up?

this is never good.

if the UTG is desperate he might turn over K6.

if he a small but not desperate stack he has to have a real hand (at least he should have some semblance of one - so then CO has a real hand.

under a best case scenario you are getting the right odds like AK AQ but its a bad assumption.
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  #16  
Old 01-10-2007, 06:36 AM
Kojak1984 Kojak1984 is offline
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Default Re: How Slim an Overlay Will U Go Heads Up?

[ QUOTE ]
If neither of them have a pair and both of them have an ace and their other card is different, but higher than 6, I win 36% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

OK, so if you knew that this is exactly what you were up against, you can maybe make that call. But you plain don't.
A UTG all-in followed by another all-in from two stacks that, while short, are not crippled, COULD be two Ace-x hands, but could also be two PP, or one of each.

In short, you can't calculate your odds based on best case scenarios.
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