Theory Q on Continuation bets

[cwar]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
3bet paired flops every once in a while. You'd be surprised how often those min-checkraises are just small pocket pairs that don't think you hit.

Example: Villain is 25/13/2.x

Full Tilt Poker
$0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Ring Game
5 Players
LegoPoker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
UTG: $197.15
Hero (MP): $112.20
CO: $98.50
SB: $133.45
BB: $81.3

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($1.5, 5 players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3.50</font>, CO folds, SB folds, BB calls $2.50

<font color="black">Flop:</font> 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($7.5, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $6</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $12</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $35</font>, BB folds
Uncalled bet of $23 returned to Hero

<font color="black">Turn:</font> 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] [] ($31.5, 1 players)
No action

<font color="black">River:</font> 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] [] ($31.5, 1 players)
No action

His range here basically for calling is like small PPs, suited cards not including 2 and high cards. Being that we raised the button, he's likely making a play here pretty liberally. Of course a push would mean a slowplayed high pair or 66 but this rarely if ever happens. I think your average villain will fold all but TT+ to this raise as well as the rare 66 and 2x.

[/ QUOTE ]

i'd fold preflop

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed but if his opponents are tight enough raising here isnt unreasonable.