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#11
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stack that batch
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#12
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[ QUOTE ]
ICM gives me 21% equity for folding, 13.6% for calling and losing, 31.3% for calling and winning. (13.6+31.3)/2 = 22.45 >> 21 Blimey. Are the table dynamics and stack positions important enough to make up for this? If I can push into BB next hand, I will have 23.3% equity. So if I think there is an approx 2/3 chance of successfully pushing my next hand, I'm more or less ambivalent between pushing and calling (I'm giving up 1.5% to gain 2.3% x2/3). If I include the chance of another shortie busting before I next hit the blinds ... I don't think I would make this call without a much deeper stack. [/ QUOTE ] I guess assuming you win 50% of calls isn't too far off. That 2/3 chance of pushing seems pretty far off. It doesn't fold around to me in the SB that often when I'm 5 handed. |
#13
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nobody pushes any two into my big blind
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#14
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If he's pushing 100% we're a very slight dog - 49.3:50.7.
If he's pushing 90% we're 47.3:52.7 and it's still nearly +1%. If the table dynamic was really really unfavourable for me I suppose I might call. But I'd really really hate it and I would think of every excuse possible first. I'd usually call if I had the big stack in this example, but not when I'm so short that losing cripples my chances of recovering. |
#15
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Do you know villain? If it's some random I'd fold. Against a regular solid push bot I call.
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#16
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If you really think he's pushing any 2 then call.
If it's any less, I probably wouldn't. Ryan |
#17
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I do not know if he is a regular as I just moved up to the $114's but I can say thus far he has been very aggresive and pushing extremely frequently into my sb and in other postitions also.
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#18
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I might tend to fold with that particular read. I don't think you're sure enough to call. Calling and losing here really sucks.
Ryan |
#19
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Wha!?!?! Am I the only one that insta folds here? You have a really nice stack and there's no reason to give it up.
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#20
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Well, I think instafolding is probably bad if he's truly pushing 100%.
Ryan |
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