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  #11  
Old 04-20-2006, 07:59 PM
True True is offline
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Default Re: I think he likes his hand

[ QUOTE ]
I doubt he's 3-betting a river C/R after all that turn action (unless he's a moron and can't read hands or the board).

I think trying for a C/R is great way for either 0 or 2 bets to go in.


Tom

[/ QUOTE ]

2>1

True
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  #12  
Old 04-20-2006, 08:06 PM
JerseyTom JerseyTom is offline
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Default Re: I think he likes his hand

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think trying for a C/R is great way for either 0 or 2 bets to go in.


Tom

[/ QUOTE ]

2>1

True

[/ QUOTE ]

And 1 > 0.

If you have a read that he's loco aggro (and his AF really is 7+), then a C/R is certainly going to get 2 or 3 bets way more often than he's going to check behind... Go for it, I guess...


Tom
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  #13  
Old 04-20-2006, 08:36 PM
bobhalford bobhalford is offline
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Default Re: I think he likes his hand

I would bet/3-bet. I would break my mouse if the river checked through.
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  #14  
Old 04-20-2006, 09:48 PM
Kwaz Kwaz is offline
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Default Re: I think he likes his hand

I'm on the "It doesn't matter bus".

It's pretty easy to work out.

Tinker with the figures yourself.

Bet.
1 bet - 40% (.4)
3 bets - 55% (1.65)
4 bets - 5% (.2)
2.25 Total

C/r
0 bets - 0%
2 bets - 90% (1.8)
4 bets - 10% (.4)
2.2 Total
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  #15  
Old 04-20-2006, 10:06 PM
dietlime dietlime is offline
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Default Re: I think he likes his hand

Are you saying if you check this river, it never (0%) gets checked through?
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  #16  
Old 04-20-2006, 11:16 PM
Kwaz Kwaz is offline
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Default Re: I think he likes his hand

[ QUOTE ]
Are you saying if you check this river, it never (0%) gets checked through?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes. That's my belief. You use whatever figure you think.
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  #17  
Old 04-20-2006, 11:59 PM
HajiShirazu HajiShirazu is offline
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Default Re: I think he likes his hand

Wtf those are weird stats 1.2 agg and 7.7 prfr or opposite? Anyway this guy has a set and from hvaing played ahands like this many times it doesnt really matter because i think that if you c/r he basically always calls but if you bet he wlil raise maybe 1/2 of the time, but obviously it is never being checked through. i think i would checkraise unless he is a total donkey because anybody should know that the 5th bet here means set and not aq and so they should jsut call with their 77 or whatever, but people never cease to amaze me.
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  #18  
Old 04-21-2006, 12:15 AM
True True is offline
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Default Re: I think he likes his hand

[ QUOTE ]
Wtf those are weird stats 1.2 agg and 7.7 prfr or opposite? Anyway this guy has a set and from hvaing played ahands like this many times it doesnt really matter because i think that if you c/r he basically always calls but if you bet he wlil raise maybe 1/2 of the time, but obviously it is never being checked through. i think i would checkraise unless he is a total donkey because anybody should know that the 5th bet here means set and not aq and so they should jsut call with their 77 or whatever, but people never cease to amaze me.

[/ QUOTE ]

Please move up to 100/200 immediately, this is absolutely spot on.

You are absolutely perfect.

True
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