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Search: Posts Made By: Bad Beat Expert
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-02-2007, 06:54 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 43
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: 78s from MP, how\'s my line with combo draw by turn

About the reads, I just wanted to mention that the VPIP obtained from a sample of 25 hands can only guaranteed to be between about 12% and 92% with 95% confidence. That's only marginally helpful, so...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-02-2007, 06:09 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 43
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: 78s from MP, how\'s my line with combo draw by turn

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Personally, I think it's best to bet/3-bet on the flop, because a) he probably has 9-x which he check-raised you with and b) you already raised pre-flop, and can represent an...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-02-2007, 05:29 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 43
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: 78s from MP, how\'s my line with combo draw by turn

Personally, I think it's best to bet/3-bet on the flop, because a) he probably has 9-x which he check-raised you with and b) you already raised pre-flop, and can represent an overpair to his pair of...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-02-2007, 04:46 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 223
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: Is there value in this river?

First of all, I like your play pre-flop, and on the flop and turn. Well done.

On the river, you need to take this n00b to valuetown... look at the action so far, he could be calling you down with...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-02-2007, 04:23 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 42
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: 40 NL with overpair

When I played this hand in real life, I made the call on the turn, and villain turned over pocket deuces (2 /images/graemlins/heart.gif 2 /images/graemlins/spade.gif) and I was left drawing to 4 outs...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-02-2007, 02:55 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 87
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: 50NL: BSB 99 call down

To me, the 3-bet by a TAG in the BB seems like a pocket pair, AK, or AQ. The turn bet mostly eliminates AK and AQ, as well as 22, 33, and 44. That means you're ahead of only 77 and 88 while behind...
Forum: Micro Stakes 11-01-2007, 04:41 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 293
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: NL 25 - QQ overpair - too aggressive?

It looks like the SB's bet is just dumbed-down smallball, trying to take down a pot for an ultra-low price, or set himself up for a bigger stab at the pot on the next street.

As it stands, the BB...
Forum: Micro Stakes 10-31-2007, 05:14 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 42
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
40 NL with overpair

Playing live $40 NL hold 'em home cash game. Players are loose and ultra-aggressive (one player had just called 2 all-ins for $44.50 holding Q /images/graemlins/heart.gif 3...
Forum: STT Strategy 09-16-2007, 11:05 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 87
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: $6 - A7 - Bubble

Hey there: I like the A7 off-suit in this spot. On the other hand, you have to consider exactly how loose and aggressive this opponent is, both pre-flop and post-flop, before declaring it an...
Forum: STT Strategy 08-28-2007, 05:17 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 279
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: mid-pair on stars $5.50

Sorry, I had a problem with the Hand Converter leaving out some information. Here are the stack sizes:

Button: 3915
SB: 1895
Hero: 2650
Forum: STT Strategy 08-28-2007, 04:13 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 279
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
mid-pair on stars $5.50

Stars $5.50; both opponents seemed loose and semi-aggressive.

PokerStars (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com...
Forum: STT Strategy 08-28-2007, 01:30 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 220
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: $6.5T level2 KK in SB PostFlop line check

I'd shove the turn; you're pretty much pot committed after the 3 comes off and your remaining stack is smaller than the pot. As it stands, I'm guessing MP sucked out with trip tens.
Forum: STT Strategy 08-28-2007, 12:18 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 34
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: $3.4 - TT UTG l1

I agree, you should be willing to play most pocket pairs cheap; the implied odds if you hit a set and your opponent hits top pair are quite remarkable on the 1st level against aggressive opponents. ...
Forum: STT Strategy 08-28-2007, 12:11 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 45
Posted By Bad Beat Expert
Re: $3.4 - 88 BB l4

Pre-flop, I would've raised slightly more than 300 to discourage action. Since you didn't, it'd be nice if you had some kind of read on villain. Readless, the limp/minraise looks fishy, but it...
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