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Search: Posts Made By: jonny quest
Forum: Beginners Questions 11-16-2007, 07:05 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 151
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Home tourny all-in decision

[ QUOTE ]
It was basically a post-flop coinflip and you got lucky. You were right to race (another important poker concept, knowing when its time to just gamble it up).

[/ QUOTE ]

With...
Forum: Internet Gambling 11-05-2007, 07:37 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 337
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Are low stakes games a suckers play at Full Tilt?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
edit: How does full tilt make 1.30 if they only took 1 from ten?

[/ QUOTE ]
They don't. OP's math needs some work.

[/ QUOTE ]

My bad (to coin some phrase.) $1.00...
Forum: Internet Gambling 11-05-2007, 07:01 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 337
Posted By jonny quest
Are low stakes games a suckers play at Full Tilt?

At the lowest stakes (.05/.10) Full Tilt takes a rake of %10 of the pot. Seemingly insignificant, but look what happens often in a game like omaha hi/low...

Players #1-5 enter the pot for .10, so...
Forum: Probability 02-16-2007, 05:22 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 260
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Help with formula: Likelihood of ovecards flopping

[ QUOTE ]
I will give you an example of one pair of cards. You can easily due a hole spread sheet in excel.

You have 55

There is 9 ranks above 5 for a total of 36 cards
There is two other...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-15-2007, 07:50 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 55
Posted By jonny quest
Re: probability of overcards flopping in Hold\'em

[ QUOTE ]

(AND you do not hit a set)


[/ QUOTE ]

Yes /images/graemlins/smile.gif I see.
Forum: Probability 02-15-2007, 07:14 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 260
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Help with formula: Likelihood of ovecards flopping

[ QUOTE ]
Usually, the best way to solve these problems is to figure out the probability of the event NOT occuring and then subtract that from 1.

In your case, assuming you have a pair of 3s,...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-15-2007, 07:09 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 55
Posted By jonny quest
Re: probability of overcards flopping in Hold\'em

[ QUOTE ]
This is obviously when you hold a pocket pair^
Not exactly what you were looking for but close enough.

[/ QUOTE ]

A player holds a pocket-pair. What are the chances the flop...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-15-2007, 06:44 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 55
Posted By jonny quest
Re: probability of overcards flopping in Hold\'em

[ QUOTE ]
AAll three cards are not overcards = 6/50 * 5/49 * 4/48 = 0.15%


[/ QUOTE ]
When I perform that calculation I get 0.10%??
Forum: Probability 02-15-2007, 05:14 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 260
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Help with formula: Likelihood of ovecards flopping

[ QUOTE ]
I believe it is one of the appendices in SS1

[/ QUOTE ]

I think %'s are listed for specific holdings, but I am curious about the math behind the probabilities rather than just final...
Forum: Poker Theory 02-15-2007, 05:06 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 55
Posted By jonny quest
probability of overcards flopping in Hold\'em

<<I posted this in Probability but have not heard a word, so figured I'd also post here since may apply and hope to find a helpful responder>>

Specifically, I was trying to calculate the...
Forum: Probability 02-15-2007, 04:10 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 260
Posted By jonny quest
Help with formula: Likelihood of ovecards flopping

Specifically, I was trying to calculate the probability of overcards flopping to Pocket Pairs in Hold'em.

For example, % of time overcards would flop against someone holding pocket 3's.

For the...
Forum: Psychology 02-10-2007, 09:38 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 88
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Tilt Monster Chap. serious problem.

I hear you. It's one thing to accept the concepts of variance at an intellectual level...and another thing to temper one's emotions when the downswings keep coming.

Moving to higher limits as a...
Forum: Omaha/8 01-29-2007, 08:45 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 51
Posted By jonny quest
Re: call this with trips

Strange way to extract full value if he has a boat. But that's what I put him on.
Forum: STT Strategy 01-29-2007, 08:35 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 73
Posted By jonny quest
Re: (39) 22 vs a knucklehead

Sure, 50% he's semi-bluffing with flush draw or has a six...25% his junk has paired....25% two-overs.

Fold and find a better opportunity.
Forum: Poker Theory 01-29-2007, 08:16 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 57
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Would Ultra-Tight be right? NL HE

[ QUOTE ]
[Since the rate that overpairs & sets appear is insufficient to pay for the blinds if you don't get action, you will slowly bleed to death.

[/ QUOTE ]

Great point, well-stated.

I...
Forum: STT Strategy 01-29-2007, 07:33 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 33
Posted By jonny quest
Re: What do you think of this play? 16$ SNG

Think most people addressed the risk/reward concerns.

One thing I "like" about it...assuming that he folded...you've established in one swoop a very specifc image which you could...
Forum: Poker Theory 01-29-2007, 07:13 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 59
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Sklansky vs 2+2 on Sizing your NLHE pre-flop raises... confusion!

[ QUOTE ]
I'd prefer to be raising it as big as I can get away with without revealing what my hand is from any position!

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree. I'd add raising it as big as you can to get 1-2...
Forum: Poker Theory 01-29-2007, 07:02 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 57
Posted By jonny quest
Would Ultra-Tight be right? NL HE

Specifically, if one were to only play pocket-pairs and see the flop, then bet (with over-pair or set only) and release most other scenarios when encountering aggression...would this be a winning...
Forum: Beginners Questions 01-25-2007, 03:40 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 55
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Well ahead/well behind NL Texas Hold\'em examples

[ QUOTE ]
So 77 would be SA/WB, not WA/WB. They're very different.

The classic SA/WB is middle pairs preflop. Say you raise UTG with 99 and get reraised by the button. If you're not getting...
Forum: Beginners Questions 01-24-2007, 09:56 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 55
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Well ahead/well behind NL Texas Hold\'em examples

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Another example is if a solid pro raises and I call with 77 and the flop is J 3 3 rainbow. He continuation bets into me. I am wa/wb--if he has a J or higher pair, I'm drawing...
Forum: Beginners Questions 01-24-2007, 09:35 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 91
Posted By jonny quest
Re: was the \"expert\" next to me at dinner bullshitting?

[ QUOTE ]
The obvious answer is, "Yes".

[/ QUOTE ]

Especially if the opponent exposed his pocket Aces /images/graemlins/smirk.gif

Otherwise, without knowing all the preflop activity (that...
Forum: High Stakes Limit 01-24-2007, 05:31 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 431
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Anybody like?

Curious--I, like your brother, don't play at these stakes, so I can understand why he may have questioned your play...though clearly many seasoned Limit players here agree with your play.

Truly...
Forum: Poker Theory 01-23-2007, 10:17 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 80
Posted By jonny quest
Re: A speculation about mid-limit poker & winning players

Interesting thread. I agree with original poster and many others; it is when we feel we are favorites but encounter strength that poses the greatest challenges. Expanding upon this, I took the...
Forum: Micro Stakes 01-11-2007, 05:39 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 54
Posted By jonny quest
Re: Pulling a move with a flushdraw

IMO both his bets pushed you off the draw. A call of his flop bet makes the implied odds tempting, but the re-raise, while a brave move, did not seem like it would get this type of opponent (as...
Forum: STT Strategy 01-11-2007, 03:38 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 88
Posted By jonny quest
Re: 60: WTF U STOLE MY CHIPLEAD GIVE IT BACK

Well presented cases.

I would also be concerned about the likelihood of (Not just the SB) but also the BB calling. If I were him, I would consider your push as standard steal against middle...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 126

 
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