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Forum: Probability 11-03-2007, 12:35 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 105
Posted By BogusPomp
easy probabilty question

You shuffle a deck and deal out 12 cards.

What is the probability there is at least 3 cards of any rank amongst those 12?
Forum: Probability 05-07-2007, 09:56 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 63
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: 2 Royal flushes in 1000 hands

The probability of seeing a royal flush after 7 cards is

(4 * 47 * 46 )/ (52 choose 7) = ~0.00006464124 or about 1 in 15 470

To find the chance of this happening exactly twice in 1000 hands,...
Forum: Probability 01-13-2007, 12:55 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 53
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: How many states?

I've been thinking about his a little.... a question, since there are 4 different cubes labeled 6/4, aren't there at least 4! or 24 different 'meta-solved' solutions. As for simple solutions, still...
Forum: Probability 10-14-2006, 11:25 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 165
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: Test yourself here

Ok- i'm going to take a stab as well

[ QUOTE ]


So it's two events, firstly two people dealt any unique pocket pair, the odds of this would be

52/52 * 48/51 * 3/50 * 3/49 = 1 in 289.23611 ...
Forum: Probability 09-16-2006, 02:28 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 50
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: hand vs hand(s) probability program

pokerstove.com
Forum: Probability 09-15-2006, 08:37 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 58
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: Bingo Blackout

[ QUOTE ]
As a follow-up, let's say we are playing 3 different bingo cards during a "blackout" game.

What is the probability that 2 of these cards will BINGO on the same number?

(Assume we...
Forum: Probability 09-13-2006, 04:01 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 60
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: Prob of no ace delt

Yes, this is right.

one other method to get the answer would be:
(48c18)/(52c18) = 0.171302983
Forum: Probability 09-13-2006, 09:43 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 58
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: Bingo Blackout

As a follow-up, let's say we are playing 3 different bingo cards during a "blackout" game.

What is the probability that 2 of these cards will BINGO on the same number?

(Assume we keep drawing...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-09-2006, 01:28 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 67
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: NFL Week 1 overlays

i believe what he is trying to say, and correct me if i'm wrong..

Even if we KNEW the Pats would win this game, they would win by more than 10pts <45% (100/220)of the time.
When you then factor...
Forum: Sports Betting 09-09-2006, 01:13 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 67
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: NFL Week 1 overlays

p.108 "Gambling For A Living" by Sklansky and Malmuth

"All good bets are overlays. In order to have the best of it on any bet, that bet must be an overlay.... any gambling bet has to be an overlay...
Forum: Probability 07-10-2006, 04:10 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 97
Posted By BogusPomp
Hold \'em prob. calculations

I am trying to teach myself how to do some of these calculations.... and still not sure I'm doing them properly

Would someone/anyone mind checking these answers for me. Much obliged.

First--...
Forum: Probability 05-12-2006, 11:09 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 186
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: Interesting \"paradox\" concerning suited cards

I suspect there is some double counting happening.

Say you hold AsKc, and the board comes with 4 spades... one of which is the Ks. Now you hold a pair of kings "or" a spade flush to beat the...
Forum: Probability 04-15-2006, 12:50 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 90
Posted By BogusPomp
Re: General Holdem Probability Question

More specifically, does this example qualify as a Bernoulli trial with p= 1/17?
Forum: Probability 04-15-2006, 12:38 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 90
Posted By BogusPomp
General Holdem Probability Question

Most everyone knows the chance of being dealt any pair pre-flop in Holdem is 1/17 (or 16 to 1).

I was wondering, more generally...

At an 'N' person table, what are the chances 'K' players will...
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