Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-14-2006, 11:25 AM
BogusPomp BogusPomp is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 16
Default Re: Test yourself here

Ok- i'm going to take a stab as well

[ QUOTE ]


So it's two events, firstly two people dealt any unique pocket pair, the odds of this would be

52/52 * 48/51 * 3/50 * 3/49 = 1 in 289.23611

[/ QUOTE ]

I think this should be (52/52 * 3/51) * (48/50 * 3/49) =

p(player A receives pocket pair) * p(player B is dealt a first card that does not match player A's pair) * p(player B pairs this first card) =~ 0.003457

then, of 48C3 possible flops, 4 will make quads and a full house.

4/(48C3) = ~0.000231267

therefore, the probabilty of this happening at a 2 person table is 0.003457 * 0.00023126 = ~ 8e-7 or roughly 1 in 1.25 million

I am anxious to see how to extend this result to a 6 person table.

I thought of using a binomial distribution here- however I am fairly certain it does not consider the times when 3 or more people have been dealt pocket pairs- and is therefore not applicable?!?

Many thanks to Bruce for all his help.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:00 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.