Forum: Sports Betting
08-30-2007, 09:51 PM
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Replies: 33
Views: 185
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
05-27-2007, 03:58 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 92
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
05-26-2007, 07:24 PM
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Replies: 15
Views: 92
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-18-2006, 03:03 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 50
Matching wits with a TAG...
The title is a little dramatic, but this guy is 23/14/2.87 and seems to be pretty decent. I wasn't really thinking while this hand was going on, which is sad since these types of situations make or...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-13-2006, 06:41 PM
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Replies: 14
Views: 95
Re: Overplayed AK?
Sand thanks for explaining your reasoning for why betting out on the flop is wrong, it makes perfect sense. To the poster who asked how well the villain knew my playing style - we've played about 50...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-13-2006, 03:39 AM
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Replies: 14
Views: 95
Re: Overplayed AK?
[ QUOTE ]
What are you trying to achieve by betting this flop? Just c/c and hope to hit a K or A on the turn. And I don't think you have oods to call the turn, because he will have AA or KK too...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-13-2006, 02:58 AM
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Replies: 14
Views: 95
Overplayed AK?
Villain is a solid tag - 21/15/2.87
I know this is a pretty standard hand, but overcard situations like this come up often and I'd like to understand how to play them correctly. I'm sure other...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-10-2006, 04:37 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 52
Common 4-flush scenario
Stats irrelevant, but let's just say it's against a player who calls too much.
Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $1/$2
5 players
Converter...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-10-2006, 04:26 AM
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Replies: 4
Views: 56
River donk situation
Villain is 60/20/2.6
Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $1/$2
6 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-10-2006, 03:53 AM
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Replies: 26
Views: 138
Re: intuition says to call river...
[ QUOTE ]
I was just commenting on the poster saying he has KK here 95% of the time, which I think is much too conservative. Your hand has to be good here, what 55-60% of the time for a raise to be...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-09-2006, 07:15 PM
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Replies: 26
Views: 138
Re: intuition says to call river...
His stats are laggish, so his range is wide for raising UTG, but the fact that he capped it PF, 3bet the flop, and just called turn (when he realized he might be beat) screams AA or KK. The river...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-09-2006, 06:55 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 86
Re: Couple hands vs. a maniac
[ QUOTE ]
Both are bad. Hand one because your OOP. What were you trying to do? Hand two because of your read. He's way to agressive for this kind of play. You're just charging yourself more to draw....
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-08-2006, 09:44 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 86
Re: Couple hands vs. a maniac
I doubt that there is a standard fold to river bet %, but doing a quick survey of a dozen tags in my DB, I see a range of 37-45. Mine is 41%.
This stat would be more useful in a situation like...
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Forum: Small Stakes Shorthanded
12-08-2006, 03:59 PM
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Replies: 13
Views: 86
Couple hands vs. a maniac
Same villain in both hands. 44/25/3.8
Hand 1:
Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $1/$2
5 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-19-2006, 01:05 AM
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Replies: 127
Views: 572
Re: E Michigan +12.5 @ Kent St
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
how in the world do u take Cincy in the Rutgers game?
What an awful pick.
[/ QUOTE ]
I want to thank this guy.
I was gonna skip the be ton the Cinncy game since I...
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Forum: Sports Betting
11-18-2006, 10:47 PM
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Replies: 127
Views: 572
Re: Auburn U21.5 @ Alabama
This line seemed way too good to be true! I bet half my bankroll on it, so I hope this one is not a sucker bet. GL all!
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Forum: Poker Legislation
10-17-2006, 03:34 AM
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Replies: 6
Views: 56
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-23-2006, 06:24 PM
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Replies: 8
Views: 87
Re: Week 4 Picks...
Sometimes the Clemson Tigers just go off on mediocre teams. UNC was worse than mediocre. I think they were really pumped up from that win over FSU last week and they just tore it up.
Air Force is...
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-23-2006, 02:19 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 52
Re: NCAA for today
I guess it's a little late to comment on the UNC line, but I picked Clemson and they are doing exactly what I thought they would be - blowing UNC out of the water.
I also have to disagree with...
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-15-2006, 09:53 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 131
Re: Kansas vs. Toledo
Wow what a finish to the half! I took Toledo at -2.5 for the first half and they decided to go for the 2 pt conversion. [censored] amazing!
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-15-2006, 02:21 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 131
Re: Kansas vs. Toledo
I know nothing about the teams and haven't seen them play this year, but judging from the offensive numbers they put up in their first two games I would bet the over. The O/U is 49 on youwager.com....
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Forum: Sports Betting
09-09-2006, 09:39 PM
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Replies: 129
Views: 430
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Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
08-12-2006, 07:50 PM
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Replies: 20
Views: 99
Re: Yay for August
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
godgiven STFU please
[/ QUOTE ]
brilliant post man, I wonder if the other 500 are this intelligent
[/ QUOTE ]
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Forum: Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
08-12-2006, 05:04 PM
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Replies: 20
Views: 99
Re: Yay for August
[ QUOTE ]
godgiven STFU please
[/ QUOTE ]
brilliant post man, I wonder if the other 500 are this intelligent
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