NL50: River completes FD and brings overcard, villain open pushes

[AlexB182]

Villain is new to the table, only his fourth hand. Haven't played with him before. I guess from the way he c/c on flop and turn, his most probable hand is some kind of draw, but if he's bad he could even play TPGK like that. Problem is, I don't see any hands I beat here, except perhaps for a busted OESD. Still, that open push looks kind of suspicious to me.
Another problem: I don't think the odds are making a river call here +EV...
Any comments welcome!

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($50.95)
BB ($20)
UTG ($22)
UTG+1 ($9.90)
MP1 ($48.75)
MP2 ($67.05)
MP3 ($50.75)
CO ($51.25)
Hero ($53.10)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, MP3 calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.85</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP3 calls $2.35.

Flop: ($6.45) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $5.75</font>, MP3 calls $5.75.

Turn: ($17.95) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $13</font>, MP3 calls $13.

River: ($43.95) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets $29.15 (All-In)</font>, Hero ?

[bluffingguus]

Hard to say what he has without reads, but would be an easy fold for me against almost any villain. Seems like he's drawing to a flush with A? and just hit. Or just has AK or KQ. Again, hard to say without reads.

[CazicT]

This feels very much like a flush. But even if it isn't, it is probably some other monster that beats you like a set or 2 pair.

If this guy bluffed with OESD well congrats to him on a fine play.

Fold.

[a poker student]

I'd fold. If he was bluffing he's maybe going to show his cards anyway, and I will pat him on the back.

Perhaps I would not bet on the turn. He called your flop-bet, saying he is going to call your &lt;pot turn bet too if he is on a flush-draw. Or I would bet 1.5 pot on the turn.

Anyway I'm a newbie, so comments are welcome but don't take my line too seriously.

[AlexB182]

Not betting the turn is no option, if he is drawing(what I put him on, too), we have to make him pay for it.
Anyone betting pot size here on turn? Might work out.
Anyone shoving here? Problem: when he has a flush draw with an overcard(like AdTd) we are only a 53 to 47 favourite...

[MMa7]

We're actually 70-30 favourite on the turn if he has an overcard along with the flush draw.

Anyway he was either chasing that flush or had as beat all the way.

[AlexB182]

Ah, right. I made the sim for the situation on the flop. My bad.

[seki]

[ QUOTE ]
This feels very much like a flush. But even if it isn't, it is probably some other monster that beats you like a set or 2 pair.

If this guy bluffed with OESD well congrats to him on a fine play.

Fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

[CalledDownLight]

You beat nothing.

[AlexB182]

Ok, thank you all guys. We seem to all have the same opinon.