100r river bluff...

[Rizen]

I don't like the play on most streets. First off, I think villain is too shallow to be profitably calling with 22 here for set value. I might call if i had a specific read that i could take this pot away a lot post flop though.

I think a bluff is more believable on the turn after you float and he checks to you, so I probably bet when checked to on the turn if I call that flop.

Basically you floated a draw heavy flop, checked behind on the turn, then shove a river that completes just one of the possible draws (QJ). Personally, if i were the villain in this hand I would think you had QJ or nothing and would definitely call with a K, and would consider calling with a lot weaker than that.

Also FWIW - while I would almost certainly never get to the river this way with 22, your hand actually has showdown value here. If I were going to stick more chips in the pot, a call might be as good as a push here because on this board with this action I can't think a whole lot of hands that will fold here that you're behind, and the ones you're ahead of will fold to your raise anyways. I'm honestly not sure if the hands you get to fold out here to take the pot down make up for the additional losses you take against the hands that do call here.

I'm not sure i'm making a ton of sense here, but I don't like it. Either fold pre-flop, fold the flop since it's a very coordinated board, or bet the turn after you float. I think all 3 of those lines are reasonable here.

-Rizen