short stack push for 2xBB, ATo on button

[JFJB]

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No antes.

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And I guess no reads on the 'awareness' of the blinds.

So when it gets to you there is 685 in the pot. I like to raise between 700 and 800 here to denies good odds to the blinds to flat call to see a flop. A raise to 650 give 3:1 pot odds for a flat call from the BB!

Greatly simplyfied, assuming that the reraising range of the blinds are top 10% of hands, then 80% of the times both blind will fold. The raise here with A-10 is clearly +EV (I calculated approximately +250 on average going in against MP1 a 60% favorite and folding to a raise from the blinds).

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OK, assume you are a 60% favorite against the short stack, you raise to 750, the blinds reraise 20% of the time to which you fold, and the blinds never flat call.

If you isolate, there is 1060 in the pot. Your average gain is +256. If you are reraised, you lose 750. So your average gain is 256 * .8 - 750 * .2 = + 54 chips.

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OK I do not think I agree with all of the math here.

0,6 of 1070 is 642

0,4 I loose 385 which means 154

Net here is 488.

0.8 * 488 - 0.2 *700 = 250

How is that?