Fold to river donk?

Muckit · #1 02-19-2006, 07:11 PM

Villain is 40/3.5/0.7 over 50 hands.

This is an easy fold to a LPP river donk bet correct?

PokerStars Hold'em (8 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, 3 folds, Hero raises, 1 fold, BB calls, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: (6.50 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, BB calls, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: (4.25 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls.

River: (6.25 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 7.25 BB

numeri · #2 02-19-2006, 07:20 PM

Any specific reads? This could definitely be bluffing the flush as well. Many players will check/raise a rivered flush. I'd be very tempted to call, knowing that I'll lose most of the time. I just think we might win the 1 in 8.25 that we need to.

Muckit · #3 02-19-2006, 07:53 PM

No specific reads. I didn't consider the check/raise point. Given the board is paired and three to the flush I gave more weight to the river donk.

Buzz-cp · #4 02-19-2006, 07:55 PM

I call and make a note.

numeri · #5 02-19-2006, 07:58 PM

[ QUOTE ]
No specific reads. I didn't consider the check/raise point. Given the board is paired and three to the flush I gave more weight to the river donk.

[/ QUOTE ]
Yeah, it's definitely close. I think a T either donks or check/raises the turn. I'm more worried about the K and flush. I don't hate either a fold or a call. It's extremely close either way. The note might be worth a slightly -EV call.

Spy021 · #6 02-19-2006, 08:12 PM

Still very new and learning, but here's my 2 cents...

Looking at your read, it looks like Villian is pretty passive postflop so I wouldn't really expect him the type to try a steal on the river. I would think that even if he had a Ten, he would have checked it on the river when the 3rd heart came down, especially since he didn't raise on the turn. Based on his stats, the only likely hand I could see him bet is a made flush. He called on the flop and turn getting odds to draw to a flush, so I think a fold here is good.

Sushiglutton · #7 02-19-2006, 08:21 PM

Yes like the fold even against better players. What could he been calling with that u beat?

Buzz-cp · #8 02-19-2006, 08:23 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Yes like the fold even against better players. What could he been betting with that u beat?

[/ QUOTE ]

I can see A8, A6, 77-55, busted gutshot, etc.

Sushiglutton · #9 02-19-2006, 08:58 PM

Ok I give up. Bad post by me. Call against aggro but folding is okej against passive?