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#1
09-09-2006, 05:36 AM
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SH Set confusion
The villain didn't play any hand this aggressive before or after this hand. He seemed like a solid [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] loose aggressive player. He haven't seen me getting to much out of line.
Prima No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (4 handed at a full ring table) Hero ($75) UTG ($30) Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] UTG calls, Hero raises to $0.4, 2 folds, UTG calls. Flop: ($0.95) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players) UTG bets $0.7, Hero calls. Great I flop a set! A slowplay might just do the trick (only a possible straight draw) Turn: ($2.35) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players) UTG bets $1.4, Hero raises to $3.5, UTG raises to $5.6, Hero calls. Ok time to punish him a little with a raise (a bit on the small side). What, he repops me out of position? Overpair, TP, set, two pair or the awful 76? I call and re-evaluate the river. River: ($13.55) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players) UTG bets $12.1, Hero ? He 3-bets me OOP on the turn and make a PSB (very uncommon at these tables). Most probable hands now: KK (not likely since limp-call), 88 set (prob raise preflop), 33 set (likely), 76s straight (likely) or 98 two pair (not so likely since I have 99). Can be a monsterbluff as well but I think thats highly unlikely. I don't think it's very likely he has QQ-TT or a second pair. I think he has either 33 or 76. Of course I didn't have the time to analyze this much at the table. [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img] Easy call? 
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#2
09-09-2006, 05:39 AM
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Re: SH Set confusion
easy push
2nd nuts is usually gold, even with a min 3-bet on the turn I think set over set or set against overpair over 2/3 of the time here
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#5
09-09-2006, 07:11 AM
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Re: SH Set confusion
raise the flop and push the turn.
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#6
09-09-2006, 08:05 AM
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Re: SH Set confusion
Lol ... there are no solid LAG's at 10NL. Really. None. Zip. Zilch. Zero. Nada.
He seems to like his hand on a fairly dry board, so I would raise and give him a chance to get it all in on the flop with a lower set or top pair. As played, just get it all in on the turn. You ain't folding this hand and he's obviously not either after 3-betting, so just get it in right there. As played, just get it in on the river (man ... why is it taking you so long?!?). JA
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#7
09-09-2006, 08:41 AM
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Re: SH Set confusion
[ QUOTE ]
Lol ... there are no solid LAG's at 10NL. Really. None. Zip. Zilch. Zero. Nada. He seems to like his hand on a fairly dry board, so I would raise and give him a chance to get it all in on the flop with a lower set or top pair. As played, just get it all in on the turn. You ain't folding this hand and he's obviously not either after 3-betting, so just get it in right there. As played, just get it in on the river (man ... why is it taking you so long?!?). JA [/ QUOTE ]
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#8
09-09-2006, 09:14 AM
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Re: SH Set confusion
[ QUOTE ]
raise the flop and push the turn. [/ QUOTE ] He has $30 and he bets $0.7, do you really think it's the right thing considering the turn completed the possible straight?? I agree that 76 ain't very likely as he played it but if he has it he autocalls and he probably fold alot of hands i beat to such extreme overbets. The reason I think he has a great hand is that at this level PSB riverbets are unusual. And the fact that he has had some big hands and bet alot less. The way I see it considering this it's not unlikely he has the straight. I can't see how a river raise is so mandatory as you guys see it in this situation.
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