will he pay me off?

Josh. · #1 03-25-2006, 06:41 PM

villain is 17/11/2.7 29 wtsd.

i feel confident that i have the best hand but that doesn't necessarily mean there's value in a bet does it? i am sure everyone will tell me to bet the river and give no reason, but i do think this is very close

Party Poker 100/200 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 raises, Hero 3-bets, 5 folds, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: (7.50 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, UTG+1 raises, Hero 3-bets, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: (6.75 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, UTG+1 calls.

River: (8.75 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
UTG+1 checks

flawless_victory · #2 03-25-2006, 06:43 PM

not close, bet.. the reason u bet is so he can crycall w/ 99 like they always do.

Josh. · #3 03-25-2006, 06:44 PM

[ QUOTE ]
not close, bet.. the reason u bet is so he can crycall w/ 99 like they always do.

[/ QUOTE ]

29 wtsd is calling here with 99 after i 3-bet his EP raise?

flawless_victory · #4 03-25-2006, 06:47 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
not close, bet.. the reason u bet is so he can crycall w/ 99 like they always do.

[/ QUOTE ]

29 wtsd is calling here with 99 after i 3-bet his EP raise?

[/ QUOTE ]
just tell me now if this is like 43 hands, cause i doubt any1 in that game really has this low of a WTSD...
obv hes pretty conservative, still a bet.

Josh. · #5 03-25-2006, 06:48 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
not close, bet.. the reason u bet is so he can crycall w/ 99 like they always do.

[/ QUOTE ]

29 wtsd is calling here with 99 after i 3-bet his EP raise?

[/ QUOTE ]
just tell me now if this is like 43 hands, cause i doubt any1 in that game really has this low of a WTSD...
obv hes pretty conservative, still a bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

3000 hands, BlackCat9911

flawless_victory · #6 03-25-2006, 06:56 PM

ok, i havent played 9handed online in mos, and i dont know this guy, but given the action a player w/ those stats will have 99-JJ here 99% of the time, so it seems to me u have the nuts... betting is a freeroll, mb he will make a spazzy bluff CR out of nowhere.

Mig · #7 03-25-2006, 07:22 PM

I played 3000 hands against him up to now. He seems good. WTSD of 38.5% with a W$SD of 55.5% (there is some shorthanded). By the way the hand has been played I don't think he will pay off with an ace showing.

James282 · #8 03-25-2006, 08:50 PM

Vs. him specifically I don't think it's a bet. In general, it is for sure. He is roughly the only regular in that game that will consistently fold a worse hand in this spot - seriously.
-James

Mig · #9 03-25-2006, 09:01 PM

Regular... I only saw him since I got back from the PPM. What is his aka ? because that name is only 2 weeks old for me and I have like 50 000 hands at 100/200 since december...

Thanks

James282 · #10 03-26-2006, 02:16 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Regular... I only saw him since I got back from the PPM. What is his aka ? because that name is only 2 weeks old for me and I have like 50 000 hands at 100/200 since december...

Thanks

[/ QUOTE ]

What can I tell you? He's a regular. He plays the game a lot.
-James