nl100 odd metagame spot

[riske]

Villain is on 2 of my tables, I've 4-bet him thrice this session in Button vs blind situations, he folded the first two and called the third one, making me smell a trap, so I checked behind flop and folded turn after missing completely. He has seen me 3-bet/instafold a minraise on a paired board (this was of course not the best of plays, but I am so SICK of minraises.) It is likely he thinks I'm insane, and I've opened a TON of buttons, including this one.

Additional reads is that he didn't rebuy on the other table after losing over 30bbs, and he doesn't adjust his 3-bet size oop, so he's likely not a great player. He seems a decent TAG anyhow, and hardly ever folds to my cbets. I think this is the first time he's donked at me, though.

Effective stacks are $123

Folded to me on the button, I make it $3.50 with 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], villain calls in the SB, BB folds.


Flop (8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]) pot = $7.50
Villain bets $5.00.
Hero raises to $15.00.
Villain calls $10.00.

Ok, so he donks 2/3 pot, I don't know if he expects me to raise here (wouldn't he rather c/r a strong holding?), he thinks for about 10-15 secs and calls me.


Turn (8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]) pot = $37.50
Villain bets $20.00.

Again, why not c/r if he's strong? Does he really want me to shove here?