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  #1  
Old 11-07-2007, 12:55 PM
Merlinius Merlinius is offline
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Location: Valuetown
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Default 1/2: AT TP vs flop raise oop

No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00/$2.00

MP3 ($199.20) (Hero)
CO ($409.29)
Button ($204.00) 24/22/4.4/27/62 hands
SB ($677.39)
BB ($199.00)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to 8.0</font>, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, Button calls $8.00, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, BB calls $6.00,

Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ( $26 )
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $17.00</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to 44.0</font>, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, Hero?
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  #2  
Old 11-07-2007, 01:01 PM
xeanatic xeanatic is offline
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Location: NL100
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Default Re: 1/2: AT TP vs flop raise oop

without reads I fold this at best we are looking at a combo draw imo.
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  #3  
Old 11-07-2007, 01:08 PM
Tigerpiper Tigerpiper is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 63
Default Re: 1/2: AT TP vs flop raise oop

What do you think villain's impression is of you?

I think this likely is a fold oop.

His range to me could be a set, or a combination draw, or maybe jj or 10,9 (or air). I don't think he'd make this bet with k10, 10j or anything you're ahead of.

Even if he just has an oesd, which I doubt, I don't think you have the odds to call.

Your backdoor fl draw is too little upside given his range, and the likelihood that all the $ will go in on the turn.

He's shown too much strength, and you can get away from this cheaply.
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  #4  
Old 11-07-2007, 01:19 PM
Merlinius Merlinius is offline
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Default Re: 1/2: AT TP vs flop raise oop

i sat down at the table 1-2 orbits ago. nothing special has happened up to this point. first i thought, he is showing a lot of strength with the BB behind him - who was a solid and tight player - but then i wondered what he could possibly have and whether a fold is a little to weak and exploitable. but i guess a fold is the correct play out of position here...
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