25 nl - AQ tptk check raised

[Endomorph]

Villian is 48/30/4 over 50 hands

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Party-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver Cards)

BB ($46.96)
UTG ($11.13)
MP ($13.35)
Hero ($26.37)
Button ($56.08)
SB ($62.58)

Preflop: Hero is CO with , .
UTG calls $0.25, MP calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.5</font>, 2 folds</font>, BB calls $1.25, UTG calls $1.25, MP folds.

Flop: ($4.85) , , [color=#0000FF](3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $3.75</font>, BB raises to $10</font>, UTG folds, Hero ???

Is this am insta fold? usually a check raise on the flop at these levels is a hand but this kind of player and such a drawy board.

[kurto]

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usually a check raise on the flop at these levels is a hand

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or a draw or a poorly played pair or a bluff

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Is this am insta fold?

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against those stats I probably pay him off.

[bsball8806]

I have a hard time seeing 2pr, or a set of 8's doing this. J's and Q's prolly re raise you preflop. It sucks that you have the Qh though, means he can't have tp/fd. Maybe he's got 9 10, or like K10h. I can't see what we're ahead of except like Q10 or K10. I think this is a fold

[bsball8806]

ugh he looks really lag upon second glance. I still think this is a fold, though

[well named]

Has he check-raised the flop in any of the previous hands, or even just raised in position? If I haven't seen him take this line before (he just bets or folds) then maybe I can let it go but with his stats if I've seen him raise flop c-bets even a few times in 50 hands I would just shove. Given the preflop action I think you can rule out AA-QQ and discount JJ, so I think you are really only in horrible shape against 88 or 9T, and if his range can be much much wider than that.