representing flush at river

[Eierre]

The villain is something like 30/11 with a showdown percentage of about 27. Let me know what you think about each street (I thought I was up against a set), and whether I should try to make this play at this level. Thx

Ultimate Bet
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50./$1.
5 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is SB with :jh :js
UTG calls, CO calls, [color=#cc0000]Button raises to $5.5</font>, Hero calls, BB calls, UTG folds, CO calls.

Flop: :3d :9c :tc ($23, 4 players)
[color=#cc0000]Hero bets $14</font>, BB calls, CO calls, Button folds.

Turn: :qs ($65, 3 players)
Hero checks, [color=#cc0000]BB bets $14</font>, CO folds, Hero calls.

River: :4c ($93, 2 players)
[color=#cc0000]Hero bets $50</font>, BB calls.

Results:
Final pot: $193

[MFCMark]

People do not fold sets at NL100 even on 4 flush boards.

[rand]

[ QUOTE ]
People do not fold sets at NL100 even on 4 flush boards.

[/ QUOTE ]

yes they do but i would not turn JJ into a bluff here, you have a reasonable amount of showdown value