A flop bluff with 55 - NL$50 6m

[AZplaya]

Villian is typicall nitty tag, I have him at 15/9 over 250 hands, and he has three bet 3% of his hands. I think we can narrow his range down to QQ-AA based on the action, the question is will he fold it.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $50
SB: $60.35
BB: $49.50
UTG: $67.55
MP: $73.50
CO: $82.65

Pre-Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.75</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $5.75</font>, BB folds, Hero calls $4

Flop: ($12) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $8</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $44.25 and is All-In</font>

thoughts?

[wingchunflush]

wow this wasnt what I expected when I opened this thread. What is your image here? I think your going to get called enough that this is very thin.

[AZplaya]

sorry villian should have me at 22/18, and should view me as solid because I've been running good and showing down the goods.

[Bantam222]

What are you trying to represent?

[WhskyRiv]

The only hand that is going to call you is going to beat you. It is a lot to bet...with this guys stats I think you can find a better spot to take his money.

[Shaqalicious]

this is so spewy

3-bet from a nit = you should fold preflop. your preflop call isn't completely bad, but you should definitely 100% of the time dump it when you dont hit a set.

[Poseidon65]

I'd just fold pre-flop, if he's truly nitty we won't take his money often enough post-flop to make set-mining worthwhile.

[Profish2285]

See this is weird. If you think he can fold AA-QQ then you should be folding pre flop as youre not guaranteed his stack and you dont have odds. If you dont think he can fold it, then I dont mind the pf call even though its close, but then I definitely hate this flop play.

[wingchunflush]

[ QUOTE ]
See this is weird. If you think he can fold AA-QQ then you should be folding pre flop as youre not guaranteed his stack and you dont have odds. If you dont think he can fold it, then I dont mind the pf call even though its close, but then I definitely hate this flop play.

[/ QUOTE ]

QFT nh

[Phytopath]

[ QUOTE ]
See this is weird. If you think he can fold AA-QQ then you should be folding pre flop as youre not guaranteed his stack and you dont have odds. If you dont think he can fold it, then I dont mind the pf call even though its close, but then I definitely hate this flop play.

[/ QUOTE ]

This post hit the nail on the head, if you think the villian can fold an overpair don't play this hand against him.

Your line is very spewy here.