KQs Double Barrel

[WalStrtWarer]

I just switched from Absolute to Full Tilt (because of the their security breach) so haven't been data mining long. No stats.

I've been watching caller for 15 or so hands and he seems pretty tight. This is the first hand against him.

Pretty standard stuff until I get to the turn and river. When I looked the hand over I realized the bet on the river was probably weak. What do you think?

Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $100
Hero (MP): $100
CO: $41.25
BTN: $182.55
SB: $99
BB: $129.35

Pre-Flop: Q K dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3.50, CO folds, BTN calls $3.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($8.50) 2 4 3 (2 Players)
Hero bets $8.50, BTN calls $8.50

Turn: ($25.50) 3 (2 Players)
Hero bets $20, BTN calls $20

River: ($65.50) K (2 Players)
Hero bets $30, BTN folds

[SpleenLSD]

Looks clean. When I "know" I'm good I usually like to bet weaker on the river to get the value bet call.

[CITIZEN_114]

It's hard to get a lot of value on this river because if he has an overpair 55-JJ he was putting you on AK on the turn which now obv got him beat.

I like to bet more to give him the impression I might use the K as a blufcard so I bet 40-45$. I don't think it will matter much bc he will fold here a lot anyway.

[shpanko]

I'm guessing that suits don't matter? Not sure I really like the double-barrel, 5x and marginal overpairs probably call again, hell even Ax might call which still beats us at showdown. So I guess I don't really like this board for the DB.

On the river I'm not sure what the best bet-size is. Yours seems fine.

[WalStrtWarer]

Yikes. I cant believe i missed that. Suites do matter. I have a flush draw on the flop