AA ip, usual raised pot, dry board, TAG donks big all the way

friend_ · #1 10-12-2007, 11:34 PM

Villain is 23/14/10 but only 44 hands, no reads.

Prima Network No-Limit Hold'em, $10.00 BB (5 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

SB ($985.00)
BB ($997.00)
UTG ($695.00)
Hero ($1120.00)
Button ($1146.00)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises to $40, 2 folds, BB calls $30.

Flop: ($85) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets $70, Hero calls $70.

Turn: ($225) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets $225, Hero calls $225.

River: ($675) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets $672 (All-In), Hero calls $672.

Final Pot: $2019

I am really feel lost in this hand.
Here are my questions:
1) I am commited on this flop?
2) Should I fold in this hand and if yes, where should I fold?

gir · #2 10-13-2007, 01:23 AM

I think it's alright considering your lack of read and that his aggression factor is 10. With a better read, it changes.

Big_Jim · #3 10-13-2007, 01:27 AM

Well, you beat AK, and the low gutshots missed!

He really bet this pot like he wants to get all in bad.

I guess I'd fold river, as he played it, but I would have shoved if he checked, and would have called most any other river bet without much hesitation.

I probably put him on AK and call sometimes, though.

Can't really see getting away earlier, without a more specific read, although him setting himself up so nicely for that river bet should raise some alarm bells.

Big_Jim · #4 10-13-2007, 01:31 AM

I should also say that just raising the flop and letting him pay you off with Kx/maybe worse can be a good way to play too, especially if you make that play a lot, but the dry board and WA/WB spot do make playing it slower an appealing option.

Btch_Im_Cuter · #5 10-13-2007, 01:31 AM

Say hi to QT baabbbbyyyy.

wdead · #6 10-13-2007, 01:35 AM

Looks like 55 or 99 to me. When he full pots the turn I think I am tempted to fold there. If I dont fold there I think the river is an easy fold.

Mench · #7 10-13-2007, 01:41 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Looks like 55 or 99 to me. When he full pots the turn I think I am tempted to fold there. If I dont fold there I think the river is an easy fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

wdead · #8 10-13-2007, 01:43 AM

It could also be KJ but I just dont see a worse hand he is betting for value or a semibluff that misses.

friend_ · #9 10-13-2007, 01:50 AM

I dont think AK will be quite often in his range, cause TAGs usually 3 bet with AK OOP.
So, as I see there are two lines here:
1) Just call flop with AA and fold to river agression.
2) Raise flop, check turn and bet/call river.

I personally prefer the second option especially against an almost unknown opponent, because we are not really shure is he capable to make 3 barrel bluffs, if we just call, he has almost free chance to hit his two pair, set or straight and we wont know nothing about were we are (like in this situation).

friend_ · #10 10-13-2007, 01:57 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Looks like 55 or 99 to me. When he full pots the turn I think I am tempted to fold there. If I dont fold there I think the river is an easy fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

I think it is too weak to call on flop in order to just fold on turn against almost unknown and potentially agressive opponent. People make pot size bets not only for value.