200PS: Set faces riverpot when one of many draws got there

TimberBee · #1 10-09-2007, 04:16 PM

Villain is 41/11/1.1 over 40 hands. He is a bit passive, but I've seen him pot a couple of scary river before vs me. One time on a 3-flush on the turn that he just called, and then he potted the blank river when checked to. Not been out of line or anything though.

PF, I considered folding, but table has been playing pretty passive, so I opted to call. I usually fold this, but it depends on the table and the players.

PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha High, $2 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO ($29.45)
Button ($255.55)
SB ($185.90)
BB ($115.50)
UTG ($134.70)
Hero ($269.95)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls $2, Hero calls $2, 2 folds, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($8) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $7.6, SB calls $7.60, BB folds, UTG calls $7.60.

Turn: ($30.80) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $26, SB calls $26, UTG folds.

River: ($82.80) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets $79.8, Hero calls $79.80.

Final Pot: $242.40

CrushinFelt · #2 10-09-2007, 04:23 PM

Gross. 40 hands isn't enough to be able to label him as anything other than not a maniac. 45 is probably the least likely holding here unless its accompanied with a 78 or the Ace high flush draw (both of which might raise this flop).

I might fold since the table is pretty passive and there's likely a lot of straight-forward stuff going on... but this really is the least likely draw for him to have.

At passive tables I'm liable to float any scary flop if I'm OOP so I can fire at any scare card.

Big Dave D · #3 10-09-2007, 07:28 PM

[ QUOTE ]
At passive tables I'm liable to float any scary flop if I'm OOP so I can fire at any scare card.

[/ QUOTE ]

That's certainly one kind of strategy.

gl

bdd

Burdzthewurd · #4 10-09-2007, 07:51 PM

I'm calling this and expect 45 or whiffed clubs. If he does have the nuts, good to pay for this info once in awhile if he's that straightforward on the river.

Elrazor · #5 10-10-2007, 04:36 AM

i think you are going to see the goods here quite often, especially with is being a 'SB completes'. i think if SB has a good high wrap with clubs he probably leads the flop here, ditto lower set so the hand that makes most sense is something like A245 with some clubs, or even 4578 with no clubs

that said i probably call, very marginal tho

RoundTower · #6 10-10-2007, 08:30 AM

I'd call, it really is the least likely draw. I don't understand why you think he'd lead the big and middle wraps on the flop, but not the small one.

BlueBear · #7 10-10-2007, 09:14 AM

Yuck, but against a player this ultra-passive, you can find a thin fold here.

Elrazor · #8 10-10-2007, 09:24 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I'd call, it really is the least likely draw. I don't understand why you think he'd lead the big and middle wraps on the flop, but not the small one.

[/ QUOTE ]

personaly i would'nt lead a small wrap on this flop as if you complete your straight, several combinations are going to make a higher straight available

Overall its not a great spot for a small wrap, the only thing going for it is if you hit and pot it it looks like a missed bluff......