400NL - bottom two facing bet pot on the river

Mat · #1 10-07-2007, 08:58 AM

Villain is a donk 45/18/2 with a 22% wtsd.

Everest Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00/$4.00 (HH Converter by Kreatief)

MP3 (620.30)
CO (425.40) (Hero)
Button (66.10)
SB (418.10)
BB (484.70)
MP2 (369.80)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
1 folds, Hero raises to $14.00, 2 folds, MP2 calls $10.00,

Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ( $30 )
MP2 checks, Hero bets $22.00, MP2 calls $22.00,

Turn: Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ( $74 )
MP2 checks, Hero checks,

River: 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ( $74 )
MP2 bets $74.00,

Do you think the call is +ev w/ only 2:1 ?

DND · #2 10-07-2007, 09:04 AM

no

olof86 · #3 10-07-2007, 11:06 AM

FoLD

Praetor · #4 10-07-2007, 11:17 AM

yeah pitch it

Suwalski · #5 10-07-2007, 11:23 AM

Really? i i think it's closer than you guys make it. Look at villains stats...

I experience that donkeys love to call cbets, check turns and fire river with basically anything.

What's his river AF?

Veron · #6 10-07-2007, 02:38 PM

You have to call here.

You don't have any tells on his bet-sizing? It's ussually a strong hand but this kind unorthodox players make bad and unpredictable plays oftenly enough to call here.

Mat · #7 10-07-2007, 02:57 PM

I have no reads on his bet sizing, I checked in my PT and he took that line with a set but I think one hand is not enough.
I actually folded the hand.