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  #1  
Old 10-06-2007, 08:09 PM
keikiwai keikiwai is offline
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Default river decision vs. a draw (busted? or made?)

So, I make 2 value bets. On the river, I check, but should I call or fold. The flush draws missed, but an oesd hit.

Any suggestions? I lean toward calling, since there are more FDs that missed than str8 draws that hit.

Villain is 16/5/2 but only over 45 hands.

Is my turn bet too small?

Poker Stars, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: $281.15 (140.58 BB)
UTG: $242.30 (121.15 BB)
MP: $269.30 (134.65 BB)
Hero (CO): $257.15 (128.58 BB)
BTN: $238.55 (119.28 BB)
SB: $373.90 (186.95 BB)

Pre-Flop: J 9 dealt to Hero (CO)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $8</font>, BTN calls $8, 2 folds

Flop: ($19) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $16</font>, BTN calls $16

Turn: ($51) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $33</font>, BTN calls $33

River: ($117) 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $70</font>
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  #2  
Old 10-06-2007, 09:07 PM
Al_Money Al_Money is offline
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Default Re: river decision vs. a draw (busted? or made?)

I fold vs. this guy, he's definitely not vbetting worse and while he could obv be bluffing, I don't think he is often enough to make a river call profitable.
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  #3  
Old 10-06-2007, 09:50 PM
Fistdantilus Fistdantilus is offline
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Posts: 502
Default Re: river decision vs. a draw (busted? or made?)

Fold. Villain just isn't playing a whole lot of hands, and you're really hoping for A) a bluff or B) 98.
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  #4  
Old 10-06-2007, 09:56 PM
Roger Mainfield Roger Mainfield is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Thailand
Posts: 657
Default Re: river decision vs. a draw (busted? or made?)

I don't really know about river, very opponent specific, but here I probably fold. I def bet more on the turn though.... it's a fairly drawy board and you have a vulnerable hand.
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  #5  
Old 10-06-2007, 11:14 PM
nazahl nazahl is offline
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Default Re: river decision vs. a draw (busted? or made?)

I'd call. I'd think most pairs check behind rather than value bet this large (esp. since its hard to have a better 9 and play it this way) so his range is generally polarized between whiffed flush draws and the straight.
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  #6  
Old 10-06-2007, 11:18 PM
manupod manupod is offline
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Posts: 499
Default Re: river decision vs. a draw (busted? or made?)

i call here. he's not vbetting like this
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