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  #1  
Old 09-25-2007, 06:32 PM
CruS CruS is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Takin\' a smoke
Posts: 543
Default AJ -> TPTK facing strength

Villain is 23/15/3.9 over big sample

How is my line here?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($26)
Hero ($25.35)
Button ($44.25)
SB ($47.15)
BB ($30.70)

Preflop: Hero is MP with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $0.85</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $0.60.

Flop: ($1.80) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1.5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $3</font>, Hero calls $1.50.

Turn: ($7.80) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $3</font>, Hero calls $3.

River: ($13.80) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $8.75</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $13.80
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  #2  
Old 09-25-2007, 06:51 PM
Nick C Nick C is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 10,145
Default Re: AJ -> TPTK facing strength

I guess even TAGs are in love with the min-checkraise.

This is the kind of river where I have trouble deciding if my opponent suspects he's beat but is trying a bigger bet this time to see if he can get me to fold or if he's been trapping the whole way and, since I haven't gone anywhere, this is where he's really looking to get value.

And it's also possible, annoyingly, that his JT just got there. So the fold seems all right to me. I'm having trouble thinking of hands besides KJ and a persistent bluff that you're actually beating, and while AJ is also a possibility, it does seem like you're going to be losing here a lot, given Villain's line and the bad cards that fell. I don't know what he had, of course, but it does sort of look like JT, TT, or a flopped monster.
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