NL50: AA vs double paired board

AlexB182 · #1 09-17-2007, 08:37 AM

Villain is 55/5/0.36 over 60 hands, seems to be able to play with every two cards. His river AF is 4.0. Seems to be a bad player but kind of lucky so far...
I lost the hand before that one and didn't manage to reload yet.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($39.75)
SB ($23.85)
BB ($60.65)
UTG ($45.20)
Hero ($37.70)
MP1 ($32.50)
MP2 ($53.80)
CO ($15.40)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.5, 6 folds, UTG calls $2.

Flop: ($5.75) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $5, UTG calls $5.

Turn: ($15.75) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks.

River: ($15.75) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $8, UTG raises to $16, Hero ?

swainy · #2 09-17-2007, 08:42 AM

he is a fairly loose player so its quite possible he has a 6 here - a minimum c/r on the river is a poor move, but he is probably more likely to be getting the last little bit of dosh out of you on the river, rather than stealing the pot with a busted draw.

Saying that tho, the pot is now about $40 and you have $8 to call.... 5:1 on your call here... is this the sort of player that would make this bluff on the river one out of five times? with a river AF of 4.0 this is certainly worth considering.

Knightsridge · #3 09-17-2007, 08:43 AM

calls

cant raise and face the possibility of an all in reraise, but calls hoping to see 77 - TT

gieffe · #4 09-17-2007, 08:46 AM

I put him on a middle pair 7s 8s or 9s. i'd bet the turn and ready to go all in.

as you played, i'd still go all in on the river.

freeucm · #5 09-17-2007, 08:47 AM

folds, hes real bad if hes reraising with 77-1010

gieffe · #6 09-17-2007, 08:53 AM

folding is impossible with those odds.

which hands would he call preflop with a 6 or a 4? or maybe he has 3s?

Keyser112 · #7 09-17-2007, 12:26 PM

[ QUOTE ]
folding is impossible with those odds.

which hands would he call preflop with a 6 or a 4? or maybe he has 3s?

[/ QUOTE ]

i think you are right. but i'd still fold. lol

Johnes Benjamin · #8 09-17-2007, 02:12 PM

A minraise on the river is almost always bad news but he seems bad enough that he could be vbetting enough hands that you have beat. I'd call but this is very donk dependent

swainy · #9 09-18-2007, 03:49 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
folding is impossible with those odds.

which hands would he call preflop with a 6 or a 4? or maybe he has 3s?

[/ QUOTE ]

i think you are right. but i'd still fold. lol

[/ QUOTE ]

villain has a vpip of 55... i'm sure we can think of plenty of hands that a loose fishy type player would have that include a 6 or a 4... any SC, he may even play most non-suited connectors, any ace or suited ace......

generally, i wouldn't want to call a raise on a double paired board with an overpair, all u can beat is a naked ace. In this situation however, u have 5-1 on your money which is the only reason i would call.

AlexB182 · #10 09-17-2007, 08:53 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I put him on a middle pair 7s 8s or 9s. i'd bet the turn and ready to go all in.

as you played, i'd still go all in on the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't think it's ever good to move AI or call an AI with two board pairs holding just an overpair. What do other think?