HUSNG Facing CR with TPTK on monotone....

[waxhax0rs]

Villian has no glaring flaws up until now, seems not too awful but perhaps a little donkish, although we aren't very far in, it's only the first hand of the 2nd level in a turbo.

How often am I facing a draw or a worse king or worse? Is this call profitable in the long run?


Full Tilt Poker Game #3586892772: $6 + $0.25 Heads Up Sit & Go (27380998), Table 1 - 20/40 - No Limit Hold'em - 0:11:41 ET - 2007/09/17
Seat 1: dead set (1,720)
Seat 2: waxhax0rs (1,280)
waxhax0rs posts the small blind of 20
dead set posts the big blind of 40
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to waxhax0rs [Ad Ks]
waxhax0rs raises to 100
dead set calls 60
*** FLOP *** [Tc Kc 3c]
dead set checks
waxhax0rs bets 125
dead set raises to 1,620, and is all in
waxhax0rs calls 1,055, and is all in

[ChicagoRy]

I think it's profitable. Chalk up a hand range for villain and post it in here, we can assign a % for the likelihood of all holdings in his hand range and figure out your equity.

In a vacuum I call here in a 6 vs a "little donkish but hasn't done anything too horrible" player. I think the amount of time you're facing a worse K or a T or air is > the times you face a flush. And you're generally a little bit ahead of a flush draw hand here. Overall +EV IMO.

[waxhax0rs]

It's not just the flush I'm worried about, what about two pair or a set?

As a side note, like I said I hadn't seen much from him and therefore couldn't really assign and accurate read, plus I posted this after a few more matches so I forget.

[jay_shark]

I think something like k-10 is a possibility . Maybe k-q, j-q a flush or a set . Maybe he's trying this with AcX . Either way , a call should be mandatory at these levels .

[ChicagoRy]

You can always assign a range of possible hands, including everything that makes pair or T or better if you want. Assigning % is the hardest part, not deciding what hands he COULD possibly have.

But yea there's obviously more than just the 3 types of hands I mentioned, but I said if you want to really break this hand down make a range and we can work out assigning percentages.