2/4 - unknown villain takes the initiative

[Pete H]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (4 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

Button ($400)
SB ($387.90)
BB ($404)
Hero ($618.05)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $16</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls $14, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($36) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $33</font>, Hero calls $33.

Turn: ($102) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $50</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to 144</font>

Raise the flop?

My turn raise leaves him about half pot for the river if he calls. Call/fold if he 3-bets turn?

Villans stats 30/15/2.3 (50 hands), no reads

[Andykay]

Looks good, flop is ridiculously dry, so a raise is very unlikely to get called by worse. Seems like he's value betting KQ/QJ or maybe AQ if he's passive PF.

On the turn you pick up some extra outs if he does have a set and can represent that you picked up a draw there. That said your line looks extremely strong (exactly how i'd play a set on that board), and if he shoves over the top i'm not feeling great.

-Andy

[Parlay Slow]

[ QUOTE ]
Looks good, flop is ridiculously dry, so a raise is very unlikely to get called by worse.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

[Andykay]

What do you think he's calling with? Possibly KQ/QJ, but you'd have be to pretty agro to get more than one street of value out of those hands by raising the flop, and the guy is probably shutting down on the turn if you bet again. Whereas taking a more passive approach allows him to bet the turn.

I'd much prefer to represent a range consisting of set/air/draw picked up on the turn than just a range of set/air (which is what it looks like when you fire the turn after raising the flop).

-Andy

[Villeroi]

Your play is ok but i will reise flop.