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#1
09-10-2007, 08:50 PM
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Why you can\'t fold AK preflop HU (100BB stacks)
25/50 to make the math simple:
Dealt to hero: AKo (6 Max) UTG open to 175, Hero makes it 600 on Button. UTG makes it 1400. UTG is a tight TAG and reraises to 1400. We know his range is: QQ+,AK If we fold we give up all equity in the pot 1275(0%). Our 600 + 600 he called once we reraised + Blinds of 25/50. If we shove we have a 38.84 chance of winning vs AK+, QQ (if he calls everytime). This gives us 3884 of Equity. So we lose $1116. In this case going all in as opposed to folding makes us $159. Now lets assume our oppent is even tighter and can only have (KK+, AK+). Vs this range we have 37.057% equity. In this cost folding saves us $30 over going all in. But, we can basically never be this sure of our oppents range. So once you 3 bet with AKo, folding because a big mistake with (100BB stacks). Basically once you 3 bet with AKo you can't fold. Most people have learned this emprically but I found the math intresting. I also didn't proof-read this post as I did the math for my own benefit and decided to share my findings. Disregaurd the numerous spelling/grammar errors. 
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#8
09-10-2007, 09:39 PM
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Re: Why you can\'t fold AK preflop HU (100BB stacks)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Oh man, this is not even close to correct. [/ QUOTE ] elaborate plz [/ QUOTE ]Aside from the actual math which I didnt check, the likelyhood of 4-betting is not the same with all those hands. Not saying you should be folding AK PF btw, just answering the question.
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#9
09-10-2007, 09:50 PM
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Re: Why you can\'t fold AK preflop HU (100BB stacks)
good2cu,
I always intuitively felt that I couldn't fold here, but now I know the math supports it. Thanks.
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#10
09-10-2007, 09:55 PM
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Re: Why you can\'t fold AK preflop HU (100BB stacks)
[ QUOTE ]
good2cu, I always intuitively felt that I couldn't fold here, but now I know the math supports it. Thanks. [/ QUOTE ]
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