#1
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top two on ridic drawy heavy board
10 20 6m today, villain is samd who i haven't much history with, seems decent atleast though.
PokerStars Game #11926283425: Hold'em No Limit ($10/$20) - 2007/09/07 - 16:53:40 (ET) Table 'Matterania' 6-max Seat #1 is the button Seat 1: Eeedz ($2691.50 in chips) Seat 2: pono70 ($2215 in chips) Seat 3: punketty ($5348.90 in chips) Seat 4: DrunkPPlaya ($1930 in chips) Seat 5: tsifknits ($2797 in chips) Seat 6: samd20 ($2989 in chips) pono70: posts small blind $10 punketty: posts big blind $20 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to tsifknits [9d Td] DrunkPPlaya: folds tsifknits: raises $40 to $60 samd20: calls $60 Eeedz: calls $60 pono70: folds punketty: calls $40 *** FLOP *** [9c 2h Tc] punketty: checks tsifknits: bets $180 samd20: raises $420 to $600 Eeedz: folds punketty: folds tsifknits:............ what's your line here and why. thanks |
#2
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Re: top two on ridic drawy heavy board
just reading this i got tilted out of my mind
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#3
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Re: top two on ridic drawy heavy board
Call and lead a blank turn looks good to me, or just 3 bet and get it in now.
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#4
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Re: top two on ridic drawy heavy board
shove? board's real draw heavy and i dont think you want to get too cute 150BB's deep, i'd prolly put him on AQ, AJ, KQ of clubs, 78, qj, because youre deep his range prolly opens up alot, i also think AA or KK is a real possibility here, maybe JJ or QQ and he wanted to see the board first, if he's got a set, sucks
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#5
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Re: top two on ridic drawy heavy board
i didn't tilt me all that much during the hand, or now really i'm just really curious as to the general consensus here. i figure his range is something like 40% 222 40% KJcc QJcc 78cc Q8cc AJcc 15% T9 and 5% random crap/bluff.
i haven't done the math on this but if i'm even close to his true range and my percentages estimates are nearly accurate this is such an insane spot. AAismyfriend yeah i thought about that, the problem is that the entire deck sucks! there really are so few blanks. any paint sucks, any club, deuce (maybe), even 8/7/6 suck because of some whacky gapped straight draw. i either gotta shove right here or muck don't you think? thanks |
#6
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Re: top two on ridic drawy heavy board
really doubt overpairs are even close to a significant part of his range garnanasaur.
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#7
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Re: top two on ridic drawy heavy board
You think he has a set of 2s 40% of the time?
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#8
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Re: top two on ridic drawy heavy board
He certainly has air or a worse draw more than 5% of the time lol (ie gutshots etc)
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#9
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Re: top two on ridic drawy heavy board
uhhh shove?
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#10
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Re: top two on ridic drawy heavy board
maybe it's just because whenever i have essentially a second nut hand i always assume the guy giving me heat in fact has the nuts, but my read on him in this hand is there is no way he is bluffing. it just seemed like such a strong raise, into the initial raiser with two other callers behind yet to act.
my immediate impression was 222, or QJcc. honestly i haven't been back at 10 20 long enough to say how much this is a set and how much it's a draw. you guys tell me. i really doubt that is a bluff more than 1/20 times. i wasn't saying he has gutshots <%5. |
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